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Wage Indexation, Inflation Inertia, and the Cost of Disinflation

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Abstract

What are the consequences of wage negotiations on monetary policy in a country that is in transition to lower inflation? We show that wage indexation to expected inflation, increased central bank credibility and a higher frequency of wage adjustments can increase the effect of monetary policy and can decrease the cost of disinflation. Important welfare gains can be obtained with the best possible performance in the pursuit of inflation targets and with the highest possible precision in inflation forecasts since these actions increase central bank credibility. Wage policies like the one proposed by the Colombian Constitutional Court can have important negative consequences on output and real wages.

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  • Javier G. Gómez-Pineda, 2003. "Wage Indexation, Inflation Inertia, and the Cost of Disinflation," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 21(43), pages 66-85, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:bdr:ensayo:v:21:y:2003:i:43:p:66-85
    DOI: 10.32468/Espe.4303
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    Cited by:

    1. Sergio Parra Cely, 2009. "Costos de inflación en un modelo de búsqueda monetaria con formación endógena de precios: el caso colombiano," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 27(59), pages 46-82, June.
    2. Mario Nigrinis Ospina, 2004. "Es lineal la Curva de Phillips en Colombia?," Borradores de Economia 282, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    3. Javier Gómez & Juan Manuel Julio, 2003. "Transmission Mechanism and Inflation Targeting: The Case of Colombia's Desinflation," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, vol. 18(2), pages 109-133, December.
    4. Javier Gómez & José Darío Uribe & Hernando Vargas, 2002. "The Implementation Of Inflation Targeting In Colombia," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 003603, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
    5. Michael Bordo & Pierre Siklos, 2014. "Central Bank Credibility, Reputation and Inflation Targeting in Historical Perspective," NBER Working Papers 20693, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    wage indexation; disinflation; sacrifice ratio; staggered wage contracts; credibility.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E1 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models
    • E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • J30 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - General

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