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Wage Indexation, Inflation Inertia, and The Cost of Disinflation

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  • Javier Gómez Pineda

Abstract

A Statement of the Colombian Constitutional Court has mandated wage indexation on the basis of past inflation. A simple model with a wage price system, a real block, and an inflation targeting interest rule is calibrated to resemble price setting in the Colombian economy and to analyze the differing slope of the output inflation trade off for different specifications of wage indexation. The disinflation experiments show that backward looking indexation increases inflation inertia, decreases the effect of monetary policy, and increases the cost of disinflation. Shorter wage contracts and more frequent wage negotiations do not appear to have important effects on the cost of disinflation. Higher central bank credibility and the use of forward looking inflation expectations in wage negotiations decrease the cost of disinflation and may eventually lead to a boom.

Suggested Citation

  • Javier Gómez Pineda, 2002. "Wage Indexation, Inflation Inertia, and The Cost of Disinflation," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 003770, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000094:003770
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    2. Javier Gómez & Juan Manuel Julio, 2001. "Transmission Mechanisms and Inflation Targeting: The Case of Colombia Disinflation," Borradores de Economia 168, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
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    Cited by:

    1. Javier Gómez & Juan Manuel Julio, 2003. "Transmission Mechanism and Inflation Targeting: The Case of Colombia's Desinflation," Revista de Analisis Economico – Economic Analysis Review, Universidad Alberto Hurtado/School of Economics and Business, vol. 18(2), pages 109-133, December.
    2. Sergio Parra Cely, 2009. "Costos De Inflación En Un Modelo De Búsqueda Monetaria Con Formación Endógena De Precios: El Caso Colombiano," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República - ESPE, vol. 27(59), pages 46-82, June.
    3. Michael Bordo & Pierre Siklos, 2014. "Central Bank Credibility, Reputation and Inflation Targeting in Historical Perspective," NBER Working Papers 20693, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    4. Javier Gómez & José Darío Uribe & Hernando Vargas, 2002. "The Implementation Of Inflation Targeting In Colombia," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 003603, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
    5. Mario Nigrinis Ospina, 2004. "Es lineal la Curva de Phillips en Colombia?," Borradores de Economia 282, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.

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    JEL classification:

    • E1 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models

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