Content
2026, Issue Winter
- 3-6 Executive Summary - Normality Under Strain
by National Institute of Economic and Social Research - 7-16 Global Conditions
by National Institute of Economic and Social Research - 17-18 UK Forecast Summary
by National Institute of Economic and Social Research - 19-32 UK GDP and Inflation Outlook
by National Institute of Economic and Social Research - 21-23 Box A: How Have the UK Economy and Our Forecasts Evolved Over 2025?
by National Institute of Economic and Social Research - 24-28 Box B: Communicating Uncertainty
by National Institute of Economic and Social Research - 29-32 Inflation and Monetary Policy
by National Institute of Economic and Social Research - 33-35 Outlook for Fiscal Policy
by National Institute of Economic and Social Research - 36-38 Box C: What Happened to the Fiscal Black Hole?
by National Institute of Economic and Social Research - 39-44 Box D: The Economic Implications of Net Zero Migration
by National Institute of Economic and Social Research - 45-49 Household Sector
by National Institute of Economic and Social Research - 50-53 Box E: How Much Further Will Unemployment Rise?
by National Institute of Economic and Social Research - 54-60 Corporate Sector
by National Institute of Economic and Social Research
2026, Issue Spring
- 2-4 Executive Summary - New Shock, Old Vulnerabilities
by National Institute of Economic and Social Research - 5-17 Global Conditions
by National Institute of Economic and Social Research - 18-21 UK Forecast Summary
by National Institute of Economic and Social Research - 19-30 UK GDP and Inflation Outlook
by National Institute of Economic and Social Research - 19-30 Outlook for Fiscal Policy
by National Institute of Economic and Social Research - 31-42 Outlook for Fiscal Policy
by National Institute of Economic and Social Research - 36-42 Box A: Should the Ban on New North Sea Licences be Ended?
by National Institute of Economic and Social Research - 43-47 Labour Market
by National Institute of Economic and Social Research - 48-55 Household Sector
by National Institute of Economic and Social Research - 51-55 Box B: The Impact of the Oil Price Shock on UK Household Living Standards
by National Institute of Economic and Social Research - 56-64 Corporate Sector
by National Institute of Economic and Social Research
2025, Issue Spring
- 15-22 UK Forecast Summary
by National Institute of Economic and Social Research
2025, Issue Autumn
- 2-6 Executive Summary - Stability First
by National Institute of Economic and Social Research - 7-14 Global Conditions
by National Institute of Economic and Social Research - 17-19 Box A: Trend Growth and Growth Accounting
by National Institute of Economic and Social Research - 23-39 Outlook for Fiscal Policy
by National Institute of Economic and Social Research - 27-28 Box B: Why is Our Forecast Different from the OBR's March Forecast?
by National Institute of Economic and Social Research - 29-33 Box C: How Big Should the Fiscal Buffer Be?
by National Institute of Economic and Social Research - 34-39 Box D: Assessing the Chancellor's Tax‐Raising Options
by National Institute of Economic and Social Research - 40-53 Household Sector
by National Institute of Economic and Social Research - 46-47 Box E: Measuring the UK NAIRU
by National Institute of Economic and Social Research - 48-53 Corporate Sector
by National Institute of Economic and Social Research - 54-57 Forecast Summary
by National Institute of Economic and Social Research
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