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Box B: The Outlook for Young NEETs

Author

Listed:
  • Fergus Jimenez-England
  • Emma Simpson

Abstract

This box examines the nature of the UK NEET problem before presenting a five-year forecast alongside descriptive analysis of regional differences. We find that the recent rise in NEETs is driven predominantly by economic inactivity rather than unemployment, with mental health a primary driver. We expect the number of young NEETs to remain above 1 million over the next five years, rising to 1.14 million by 2030 should youth inactivity continue to rise. We find that the incidence and drivers of NEETs vary substantially across UK region, suggesting that policy is likely to be most effective where it is designed and targeted locally.

Suggested Citation

  • Fergus Jimenez-England & Emma Simpson, 2026. "Box B: The Outlook for Young NEETs," National Institute Economic Outlook, National Institute of Economic and Social Research, issue Summer, pages 46-50.
    • Handle: RePEc:nsr:niesre:i:summery:2026p:46-50
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    File URL: https://niesr.ac.uk/wp-content/uploads/2026/07/Economic-Outlook-Summer-2026.pdf?ver=bRIlAI8jRfszmPEN5DHs
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • I12 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Health Behavior
    • J13 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics - - - Fertility; Family Planning; Child Care; Children; Youth
    • J22 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Time Allocation and Labor Supply

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