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The Dynamic Effect of Oil Rent on Industrial Value Added: a SVAR Approach

  • Fakhri Issaoui
  • Talel Boufateh
  • Ghassen El Montasser

This paper studies the dynamic effect of oil rents on industrial added value in a sample of countries with different levels of development. Using a SVAR model, we tested the effect of a real shock and a nominal shock on the variables of the model. The main obtained results are three. First, we confirmed that the Dutch disease (DD) problem is a short-term phenomenon that takes place each time there is a shock on oil rents. Second, the ephemeral nature of the phenomenon confirms the neoclassical assumption stating that the effect of nominal shocks on real variables is only short term. Third, the effect of long-term real shock on oil rents is positive for all countries which score interdependence between industry on the one hand and oil rents on the other.

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Paper provided by Economics and Econometrics Research Institute (EERI), Brussels in its series EERI Research Paper Series with number EERI RP 2013/04.

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Date of creation: 04 Mar 2013
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Handle: RePEc:eei:rpaper:eeri_rp_2013_04
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  1. Corden, W Max & Neary, J Peter, 1982. "Booming Sector and De-Industrialisation in a Small Open Economy," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 92(368), pages 825-48, December.
  2. Olivier Jean Blanchard & Danny Quah, 1988. "The Dynamic Effects of Aggregate Demand and Supply Disturbance," Working papers 497, Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT), Department of Economics.
  3. Juan Pablo Medina Guzman & Ruy Lama, 2010. "Is Exchange Rate Stabilization a+L4510n Appropriate Cure for the Dutch Disease?," IMF Working Papers 10/182, International Monetary Fund.
  4. Buiter, William H & Purvis, Douglas D, 1980. "Oil, Disinflation, and Export Competitiveness : A Model of the "Dutch Disease"," The Warwick Economics Research Paper Series (TWERPS) 185, University of Warwick, Department of Economics.
  5. Kareem Ismail, 2010. "The Structural Manifestation of the `Dutch Disease’; The Case of Oil Exporting Countries," IMF Working Papers 10/103, International Monetary Fund.
  6. Eastwood, R K & Venables, A J, 1982. "The Macroeconomic Implications of a Resource Discovery in an Open Economy," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 92(366), pages 285-99, June.
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