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Gute Konjunkturaussichten für die Schweizer Wirtschaft

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Abstract

This text presents the economic forecast presented by the KOF Swiss Economic Institute at the ETH Zurich on 17 December 2013. After an introduction describing the starting points and crucial assumptions underlying the forecast, we summarise the key results for Switzerland. We then turn to the international economy and its effects on Switzerland and the Swiss economy in detail. For the latter, we forecast the main demand components of GDP as well as important macroeconomic prices and numbers, such as employment and unemployment, the price level and the exchange rate. In the 2013 – 2015 period covered by this forecast, we expect robust GDP growth along with a positive evolution of average per capita income. The next cyclical peak will not be reached within the forecast period.

Suggested Citation

  • Klaus Abberger & Yngve Abrahamsen & Florian Chatagny & Andreas Dibiasi & Dirk Drechsel & Michael Graff & Florian Hälg & Jochen Hartwig & David Iselin & Michael Lamla & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth, 2013. "Gute Konjunkturaussichten für die Schweizer Wirtschaft," KOF Analysen, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich, vol. 7(4), pages 1-29, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:kof:anskof:v:7:y:2013:i:4:p:1-29
    DOI: 10.3929/ethz-a-005427569
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    Keywords

    Switzerland; business cycle; macroeconomic forecast;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E01 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General - - - Measurement and Data on National Income and Product Accounts and Wealth; Environmental Accounts
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • F01 - International Economics - - General - - - Global Outlook

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