IDEAS home Printed from
   My bibliography  Save this book

A Small Economic Model for Argentina


  • Pedro Elosegui
    (Central Bank of Argentina)

  • Guillermo Escudé

    (Central Bank of Argentina)

  • Lorena Garegnani

    (Central Bank of Argentina)

  • Juan Martín Sotes Paladino
    (Central Bank of Argentina)


The uncertainty around monetary policy decision-making requires central banks to make extensive use of macroeconomic models both to analyze the current economic situation and to forecast the evolution of the main economic variables. The Small Economic Model (SEM) for Argentina describes in a stylized manner the macroeconomic dynamic of a small and open economy. This document describes the SEM’s structure and its two versions: a first one that includes the model’s core equations, and a second version that incorporates the simultaneous intervention in the money and foreign exchange markets by the central bank. The model’s main characteristics and limitations, the techniques employed to estimate its parameters and impulse-response functions for both models are presented. Finally, the future research agenda aimed to strengthen the analysis, simulation and forecasting tools for monetary policy purposes is discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Pedro Elosegui & Guillermo Escudé & Lorena Garegnani & Juan Martín Sotes Paladino (ed.), 2007. "A Small Economic Model for Argentina," BCRA Paper Series, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, number 03, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:bcr:estudi:03

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL:
    File Function: English version
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL:
    File Function: versión en Español
    Download Restriction: no

    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Hansen, Lars Peter, 1982. "Large Sample Properties of Generalized Method of Moments Estimators," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 1029-1054, July.
    2. Horacio Aguirre & Tamara Burdisso & Federico Grillo, 2006. "Towards an Estimation of Money Demand with Forecasting Purposes: Argentina, 1993-2005," Ensayos Económicos, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, vol. 1(45), pages 7-44, October.
    3. Roberts, John M, 1995. "New Keynesian Economics and the Phillips Curve," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 27(4), pages 975-984, November.
    4. Favero, Carlo A., 2001. "Applied Macroeconometrics," OUP Catalogue, Oxford University Press, number 9780198296850, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item


    Argentina; forecasting; general equilibrium; monetary policy; New Keynesian models;

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies


    Access and download statistics


    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bcr:estudi:03. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Federico Grillo). General contact details of provider: .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.