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La Estimación de la brecha del producto en Colombia

In: Estimación y Uso de Variables no Observables en la Región

Author

Listed:
  • José Luis Torres T.

    (Departamento de Inflación de la Subgerencia de Estudios Económicos del Banco de la República)

Abstract

La brecha del producto es una variable clave para la política monetaria bajo el régimen de inflación objetivo. Dada la incertidumbre sobre esta medida, los equipos de inflación de los Bancos Centrales monitorean regularmente un conjunto amplio de indicadores y de estimaciones, que dan luces sobre la posición de la economía en el ciclo y posibles presiones de demanda. En este trabajo se reseñan las principales metodologías que se utilizan en el Banco de la República de Colombia para su estimación. También se comparan los pronósticos fuera de muestra, para la inflación básica, que se obtienen utilizando las diferentes medidas en una curva de Phillips híbrida.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Suggested Citation

  • José Luis Torres T., 2008. "La Estimación de la brecha del producto en Colombia," Investigación Conjunta-Joint Research, in: Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos (CEMLA) (ed.), Estimación y Uso de Variables no Observables en la Región, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 4, pages 103-132, Centro de Estudios Monetarios Latinoamericanos, CEMLA.
    • Handle: RePEc:cml:incocp:1-04
    Note: Programa de Investigación Conjunta: XII Reunión de la Red de Investigadores de Banca Central del Continente Americano. Realizada en el Banco de España, Madrid, del 5 al 7 de noviembre de 2007
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Javier Gómez & José Darío Uribe & Hernando Vargas, 2002. "The Implementation of Inflation Targeting in Colombia," Borradores de Economia 202, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
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    2. Jairo Andrés Castaño Peña, 2020. "Las cláusulas de disciplina fiscal en las constituciones del Estado social de derecho : la sostenibilidad fiscal en Colombia y el principio de estabilidad presupuestaria en España," Books, Universidad Externado de Colombia, Facultad de Derecho, number 1186.

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • C43 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics - - - Index Numbers and Aggregation
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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