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Institutions and Business Cycles

  • Sumru Altug


    (Koc University and CEPR)

  • Mustafa Emin

    (Bocconi University)

  • Bilin Neyapti

    (Bilkent University)

This paper investigates the relationship between the main business cycles features and the institutional and structural characteristics of countries in which they are observed. We derive the business cycle characteristics of the individual countries using the nonparametric Harding-Pagan approach. Our sample is comprised of 63 countries that includes industrial, emerging and formerly centrally planned economies from all continents. We correlate these characteristics with a wide range of macroeconomic, structural and institutional factors that have been hypothesized to affect macroeconomic outcomes. In our analysis, we also examine the determinants of business cycle synchronization for the countries in our sample. In contrast to earlier studies which seek to account for such synchronization using gravity arguments as well as trade intensity and bilateral financial linkages, we also consider the proximity of their institutional and policy environments.

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Paper provided by Koc University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum in its series Koç University-TUSIAD Economic Research Forum Working Papers with number 1109.

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Length: 30 pages
Date of creation: Apr 2011
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:koc:wpaper:1109
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  2. Jean Imbs, 2004. "Trade, Finance, Specialization and Synchronization," Post-Print hal-00612588, HAL.
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  9. M. Ayhan Kose & Christopher Otrok & Charles H. Whiteman, 2003. "International Business Cycles: World, Region, and Country-Specific Factors," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 93(4), pages 1216-1239, September.
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  17. Altug, Sumru G. & Bildirici, Melike, 2010. "Business Cycles around the Globe: A Regime-switching Approach," CEPR Discussion Papers 7968, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  18. Rodrik, Dani & Subramanian, Arvind & Trebbi, Francesco, 2002. "Institutions Rule: The Primacy of Institutions Over Geography and Integration in Economic Development," CEPR Discussion Papers 3643, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  19. V N Balasubramanyam & M Salisu & David Sapsford., . "Foreign Direct Investment and Growth in EP and IS Countries," Working Papers ec18/94, Department of Economics, University of Lancaster.
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