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The FR-BDF Model and an Assessment of Monetary Policy Transmission in France

Author

Listed:
  • Matthieu Lemoine
  • Harri Turunen
  • Mohammed Chahad
  • Antoine Lepetit
  • Anastasia Zhutova
  • Pierre Aldama
  • Pierrick Clerc
  • Jean-Pierre Laffargue

Abstract

This paper presents the new model for France of the Banque de France (FR-BDF), as well as its key implications for the analysis of monetary policy transmission in France. Relative to our former model, this new semi-structural model has been improved along three dimensions: financial channels are richer, expectations now have an explicit role and simulations now converge toward a balanced growth path. We follow the approach of the FRB/US model, where agents can form their expectations in two different ways, VARbased or model-consistent, and where non-financial behavior react with polynomial adjustment costs. For standard monetary policy shocks, FR-BDF shows a stronger sensitivity than our former model, due to the widespread influence of expectations. Then, we show that, under model-consistent expectations, FR-BDF does not suffer from the forward guidance puzzle. Finally, Eurosystem asset purchase programmes have notable effects in FR-BDF, with a stronger transmission through exchange rates than term premia.

Suggested Citation

  • Matthieu Lemoine & Harri Turunen & Mohammed Chahad & Antoine Lepetit & Anastasia Zhutova & Pierre Aldama & Pierrick Clerc & Jean-Pierre Laffargue, 2019. "The FR-BDF Model and an Assessment of Monetary Policy Transmission in France," Working papers 736, Banque de France.
    • Handle: RePEc:bfr:banfra:736
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    Cited by:

    1. Stéphane Dees & Stefan Gebauer & Thomas Goncalves & Camille Thubin, 2022. "The Financing Structure of NonFinancial Corporations and MacroFinancial Implications in France," Working papers 880, Banque de France.
    2. Bove Guillaume & Dees Stéphane & Thubin Camille, 2020. "House Prices, Mortgage Debt Dynamics and Economic Fluctuations in France: A Semi-Structural Approach," Working papers 787, Banque de France.
    3. Pierre Aldama & Jean-François Ouvrard, 2020. "Basic Model Elasticities of the Macroeconomic Model for France of the Banque de France (FR-BDF)," Working papers 750, Banque de France.
    4. Thomas Allen & Mathieu Boullot & Stéphane Dées & Annabelle de Gaye & Noëmie Lisack & Camille Thubin & Oriane Wegner, 2023. "Using Short-Term Scenarios to Assess the Macroeconomic Impacts of Climate Transition," Working papers 922, Banque de France.
    5. Aldama Pierre & Gaulier Guillaume & Lemoine Matthieu & Robert Pierre-Antoine & Turunen Harri & Zhutova Anastasia, 2022. "The EA-BDF Model and Government Spending Multipliers in a Monetary Union," Working papers 883, Banque de France.
    6. Darracq Pariès, Matthieu & Notarpietro, Alessandro & Kilponen, Juha & Papadopoulou, Niki & Zimic, Srečko & Aldama, Pierre & Langenus, Geert & Alvarez, Luis Julian & Lemoine, Matthieu & Angelini, Elena, 2021. "Review of macroeconomic modelling in the Eurosystem: current practices and scope for improvement," Occasional Paper Series 267, European Central Bank.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    : Semi-structural Modeling; Expectations; Monetary Policy; Forward Guidance.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C54 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Quantitative Policy Modeling
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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