Forecasting of recessions via dynamic probit for time series: replication and extension of Kauppi and Saikkonen (2008)
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DOI: 10.1007/s00181-019-01708-2
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- Byeong U. Park & Lèopold Simar & Valentin Zelenyuk, 2018. "Forecasting of Recessions via Dynamic Probit for Time Series: Replication and Extension of Kauppi and Saikkonen (2008)," CEPA Working Papers Series WP092018, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
- Park, Byeong U. & Simar, Leopold & Zelenyuk, Valentin, 2019. "Forecasting of recessions via dynamic probit for time series: replication and extension of Kauppi and Saikkonen (2008)," LIDAM Reprints ISBA 2019014, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
- Park, Byeong U. & Simar, Leopold & Zelenyuk, Valentin, 2018. "Forecasting of Recessions via Dynamic Probit for Time Series: Replication and Extension of Kauppi and Saikkonen (2008)," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2018004, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
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- Byeong U. Park & Leopold Simar & Valentin Zelenyuk, 2016. "Nonparametric Estimation of Dynamic Discrete Choice Models for Time Series Data," CEPA Working Papers Series WP062016, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
- Park, Byeong U. & Simar, Leopold & Zelenyuk, Valentin, 2017. "Nonparametric estimation of dynamic discrete choice models for time series data," LIDAM Reprints ISBA 2017011, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
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Citations
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Cited by:
- Hasse, Jean-Baptiste & Lajaunie, Quentin, 2022.
"Does the yield curve signal recessions? New evidence from an international panel data analysis,"
The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 9-22.
- Jean-Baptiste Hasse & Quentin Lajaunie, 2020. "Does the Yield Curve Signal Recessions? New Evidence from an International Panel Data Analysis," Working Papers halshs-02549044, HAL.
- Hasse, Jean-Baptiste & Lajaunie, Quentin, 2022. "Does the yield curve signal recessions? New evidence from an international panel data analysis," LIDAM Reprints LFIN 2022004, Université catholique de Louvain, Louvain Finance (LFIN).
- Jean-Baptiste Hasse & Quentin Lajaunie, 2020. "Does the Yield Curve Signal Recessions? New Evidence from an International Panel Data Analysis," AMSE Working Papers 2013, Aix-Marseille School of Economics, France.
- Jean-Baptiste Hasse & Quentin Lajaunie, 2022. "Does the yield curve signal recessions? New evidence from an international panel data analysis," Post-Print hal-03740235, HAL.
- Camilla Mastromarco & Léopold Simar & Valentin Zelenyuk, 2021.
"Predicting recessions with a frontier measure of output gap: an application to Italian economy,"
Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(6), pages 2701-2740, June.
- Camilla Mastromarco & Léopold Simar & Valentin Zelenyuk, 2020. "Predicting Recessions with a Frontier Measure of Output Gap: An Application to Italian Economy," CEPA Working Papers Series WP102020, School of Economics, University of Queensland, Australia.
- Mastromarco, Camilla & Simar, Léopold & Zelenyuk, Valentin, 2021. "Predicting recessions with a frontier measure of output gap: an application to Italian economy," LIDAM Reprints ISBA 2021010, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
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More about this item
Keywords
Forecasting of recessions; Nonparametric quasi-likelihood; Local-likelihood; Dynamic discrete choice;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- C14 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods: General
- C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
- C25 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Discrete Regression and Qualitative Choice Models; Discrete Regressors; Proportions; Probabilities
- E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
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