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Wirtschaftskonjunktur 2019: Prognose und Wirklichkeit

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  • Wolfgang Nierhaus

Abstract

Der Beitrag diskutiert die ifo Prognose vom Dezember 2018 für das Jahr 2019 vor dem Hintergrund der am 15. Januar 2020 veröffentlichten amtlichen Ergebnisse der Volkswirtschaftlichen Gesamtrechnungen. Es zeigt sich, dass die Winterprognose 2018 des ifo Instituts für die jahresdurchschnittliche Veränderungsrate des realen BIP zu optimistisch war.

Suggested Citation

  • Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2020. "Wirtschaftskonjunktur 2019: Prognose und Wirklichkeit," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 73(01), pages 51-57, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifosdt:v:73:y:2020:i:01:p:51-57
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Wirtschaftskonjunktur; Konjunkturprognose; Prognoseverfahren; Deutschland; Unternehmensbefragungen; ifo Konjunkturumfragen;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

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