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Deficit Financing and Inflation in Bangladesh: A Vector Autoregressive Analysis

  • Kreiter, Zebulun
  • Paul, Tapas Kumar

This paper analyses the dynamics of inflation in Bangladesh using vector autoregressive methods over the period from July 1999 to August 2008. Demand side factors are assessed in comparison with cost-push influences with a particular focus on the role of government borrowing from the domestic banking system. Over the sample period, previous values of inflation are the most significant source of inflation in the short-term, followed by net credit to the government. The results suggest that the management of expectations and the mode of budget financing are the most important focus areas for future price stability efforts.

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Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 45981.

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Date of creation: 2010
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:45981
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  1. Alain DeSerres & Alain Guay, 1995. "Selection of the Truncation Lag in Structural VARs (or VECMs) with Long-Run Restrictions," Econometrics 9510001, EconWPA.
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  8. Metin, Kivilcim, 1998. "The Relationship between Inflation and the Budget Deficit in Turkey," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 16(4), pages 412-22, October.
  9. Abdur Chowdhury & Minh Dao & Abu Wahid, 1995. "Monetary policy, output and inflation in Bangladesh: a dynamic analysis," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2(3), pages 51-55.
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  11. Stanley Fischer & Ratna Sahay & Carlos A. Végh Gramont, 2002. "Modern Hyper- and High Inflations," IMF Working Papers 02/197, International Monetary Fund.
  12. Maysami, Ramin Cooper & Koh, Tiong Sim, 2000. "A vector error correction model of the Singapore stock market," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 9(1), pages 79-96, February.
  13. Mohammad Aslam Chaudhary & Naved Ahmad, 1995. "Money Supply, Deficit, and Inflation in Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 34(4), pages 945-956.
  14. Mudabber Ahmed & U. L. G. Rao, 2006. "Vector Autoregression Evidence On Monetarism: A Focus On Some Developing Economies In South Asia," The Singapore Economic Review (SER), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 51(01), pages 53-66.
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