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Monetary policy, output and inflation in Bangladesh: a dynamic analysis

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  • Abdur Chowdhury
  • Minh Dao
  • Abu Wahid

Abstract

This paper investigates the relationship between money, prices, output, and the exchange rate in Bangladesh during the 1974-92 period. Several interesting conclusions can be derived from the paper. First, the inflationary process in Bangladesh cannot be explained exclusively by the monetarist or the structuralist explanation of inflation. Second, regardless of the monetary aggregate employed, monetary policy exerts a significant unidirectional impact on real output. Third, monetary policy and inflation together account for a significant portion of fluctuations in the exchange rate. Finally, it is noted that monetary shocks have a strong, but relatively short-run, impact on inflation. In light of these findings, it can be concluded that monetary policy in Bangladesh should be carried out with extreme caution. While tight money may put a short-term halt to inflation and help stabilize the foreign trade sector, it may also cause a slowdown in the economy.

Suggested Citation

  • Abdur Chowdhury & Minh Dao & Abu Wahid, 1995. "Monetary policy, output and inflation in Bangladesh: a dynamic analysis," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2(3), pages 51-55.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:apeclt:v:2:y:1995:i:3:p:51-55
    DOI: 10.1080/135048595357555
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Nair Sultana & Rabiunnesa Koli & Mahamuda Firoj, 2019. "Causal Relationship of Money Supply and Inflation: A Study of Bangladesh," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 9(1), pages 42-51, January.
    2. Hossain, Mohammad Amzad, 2011. "Money-Income Causality in Bangladesh An Error Correction Approach," Bangladesh Development Studies, Bangladesh Institute of Development Studies (BIDS), vol. 34(1), pages 39-58, March.
    3. Mohammad Mahabub Alam, 2018. "The Determinants of CPI Inflation in Bangladesh, 1980-2016," Asian Journal of Economic Modelling, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 6(4), pages 441-461, December.
    4. Rokon Bhuiyan, 2013. "Inflationary expectations and monetary policy: evidence from Bangladesh," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 44(3), pages 1155-1169, June.
    5. Yu Hsing & A. M. M. Jamal & Wen-jen Hsieh, 2009. "Application of the monetary policy function to output fluctuations in Bangladesh," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 29(3), pages 2113-2122.
    6. Suranjit, K, 2016. "Output Decomposition and the Monetary Policy Transmission Mechanism in Bangladesh: A Vector Autoregressive Approach," MPRA Paper 75495, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 30 Nov 2016.
    7. Forhad, Abdur Rahman & Homaifar, Ghassem A. & Salimullah, Abul Hasnat Muhammed, 2017. "Monetary Policy Transmission Effect On The Real Sector Of The Bangladesh Economy: An Svar Approach," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 70(1), pages 25-46.
    8. Paresh Kumar Narayan & Seema Narayan & Sagarika Mishra & Russell Smyth, 2012. "An analysis of Fiji's monetary policy transmission," Studies in Economics and Finance, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 29(1), pages 52-70, March.
    9. Afrin, Sadia, 2017. "Monetary policy transmission in Bangladesh: Exploring the lending channel," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 60-80.
    10. Kreiter, Zebulun & Paul, Tapas Kumar, 2010. "Deficit Financing and Inflation in Bangladesh: A Vector Autoregressive Analysis," MPRA Paper 45981, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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