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H1N1 influenza in Australia and its macroeconomic effects

Author

Listed:
  • George Verikios
  • James McCaw
  • Jodie McVernon
  • Anthony Harris

Abstract

Early 2009 saw the emergence of an H1N1 influenza epidemic in North America that spread to eventually become a global pandemic. Previous work has suggested that pandemics can have large macroeconomic effects on highly affected regions; here we estimate what those effects might be for Australia. Our analysis applies the MONASH-Health model: a quarterly computable general equilibrium model of the Australian economy. We simulate the effects of two H1N1 epidemics; the relatively mild 2009 outbreak and also a more severe episode. The analysis supports the assertion that an H1N1 epidemic could have significant short-run macroeconomic effects.

Suggested Citation

  • George Verikios & James McCaw & Jodie McVernon & Anthony Harris, 2010. "H1N1 influenza in Australia and its macroeconomic effects," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-212, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    • Handle: RePEc:cop:wpaper:g-212
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Jong-Wha Lee & Warwick J. McKibbin, 2004. "Globalization and Disease: The Case of SARS," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 3(1), pages 113-131.
    2. Keogh-Brown, Marcus Richard & Smith, Richard David, 2008. "The economic impact of SARS: How does the reality match the predictions?," Health Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(1), pages 110-120, October.
    3. Marcus R. Keogh‐Brown & Simon Wren‐Lewis & W. John Edmunds & Philippe Beutels & Richard D. Smith, 2010. "The possible macroeconomic impact on the UK of an influenza pandemic," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 19(11), pages 1345-1360, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ling Jin & Jun Hyeok Choi & Saerona Kim & Kwanghee Cho, 2022. "Slack Resources, Corporate Performance, and COVID-19 Pandemic: Evidence from China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(21), pages 1-21, November.
    2. Kabajulizi, Judith & Boysen, Ole, 2021. "The macroeconomic implications of COVID-19 pandemic and associated policies: An economy-wide analysis of Uganda," Conference papers 333310, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.
    3. Li, Chunding & Lin, Xin, 2021. "COVID-19 and trade: Simulated asymmetric loss," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    4. Nipawan Thirawat & Pathomdanai Ponjan, 2014. "Thailand?s Flood Management Policy: Issues, Developments and Implications for the Thai Tourism Industry," Proceedings of International Academic Conferences 0301173, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
    5. George Verikios & James McCaw & Jodie McVernon & Anthony Harris, 2012. "H1N1 influenza and the Australian macroeconomy," Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(1), pages 22-51.
    6. Zhang, Ying & Jia, Jie & Wu, Chenyang & Zhou, Wei & Evangelinos, Konstantinos, 2024. "An investigation of the impact of intellectual capital on entrepreneurial performance: A moderated mediation analysis on global firms," Journal of International Management, Elsevier, vol. 30(5).
    7. Fynnwin Prager & Dan Wei & Adam Rose, 2017. "Total Economic Consequences of an Influenza Outbreak in the United States," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(1), pages 4-19, January.
    8. Liu, Yawen & Cui, Qi & Liu, Yu & Zhang, Jinzhu & Zhou, Meifang & Ali, Tariq & Yang, Lingyu & Feng, Kuishuang & Hubacek, Klaus & Li, Xinbei, 2021. "Countermeasures against economic crisis from COVID-19 pandemic in China: An analysis of effectiveness and trade-offs," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 482-495.

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    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health

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