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A Keynes-Kalecki Model of Cyclical Growth with Agent-Based Features

Author

Listed:
  • Mark Setterfield

    () (Department of Economics, Trinity College)

  • Andrew Budd

    (Sloan School of Management, MIT)

Abstract

Throughout his career, Malcolm Sawyer has both encouraged and contributed to the development of a Kaleckian alternative to conventional macroeconomic theory. In the spirit of this endeavour, we construct a Keynes-Kalecki model of cyclical growth with agent-based features. Our model is driven by heterogeneous firms who, confronting an environment of fundamental uncertainty, revise their “state of long run expectations” in response to recent events. Model simulations generate fluctuations in the rate of growth that are aperiodic and of variable amplitude. We also study the size distribution of firms resulting from our simulations, finding evidence of a power law distribution that we have no reason to anticipate from the basic structure of our model. Finally, we reflect on the potential advantages of combining aggregate structural modelling with some of the methods and practices of agent-based computational economics.

Suggested Citation

  • Mark Setterfield & Andrew Budd, 2010. "A Keynes-Kalecki Model of Cyclical Growth with Agent-Based Features," Working Papers 1008, Trinity College, Department of Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:tri:wpaper:1008
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    File URL: http://internet2.trincoll.edu/repec/WorkingPapers2010/wp10-08.pdf
    File Function: First version, 2010
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Setterfield, Mark & Kim, Yun K., 2016. "Debt servicing, aggregate consumption, and growth," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 22-33.
    2. Mark Setterfield & Bill Gibson, 2013. "Real and financial crises: A multi-agent approach," Working Papers 1309, Trinity College, Department of Economics, revised Jul 2014.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Kaleckian model; growth; cycles; agent-based computational economics;

    JEL classification:

    • E12 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Keynes; Keynesian; Post-Keynesian
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • O41 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - One, Two, and Multisector Growth Models

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