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Methodenexpertise zur Analyse der Auswirkungen der internationalen Finanz- und Wirtschaftskrise auf die Wirtschaft im Land Brandenburg : Gutachten im Auftrag des Ministeriums für Wirtschaft des Landes Brandenburg

Author

Listed:
  • Joachim Ragnitz
  • Stefan Arent
  • Wolfgang Nierhaus
  • Beate Schirwitz
  • Johannes Steinbrecher
  • Gerit Vogt
  • Björn Ziegenbalg

Abstract

Die Wirtschaftskrise der Jahre 2008/2009 hat auch die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung in den ostdeutschen Bundesländern negativ beeinflusst. Am Beispiel des Landes Brandenburg wird dargestellt, wie diese Wirkungen mit Hilfe amtlicher Statistiken analysiert werden können. Erforderlich erscheint dies vor allem auch deswegen, weil nur durch eine ausreichende Informationsbasis geeignete wirtschaftspolitische Maßnahmen getroffen werden können. Die Methodenstudie untersucht darüber hinaus, welche nicht-amtlichen Daten und weiteren Informationsquellen herangezogen werden können, um die Folgen der Finanz- und Wirtschaftskrise auf die ökonomische Entwicklung im Bundesland Brandenburg analysieren zu können. - Neben der Erhebung vorhandener amtlicher und nicht-amtlicher Daten werden Ansätze vorgestellt und diskutiert, die es ermöglichen, diese im Kontext der Fragestellung zu analysieren. Insbesondere werden Methoden der aggregierten Konjunkturbeobachtung und -prognose auf Länder- und Kreisebene, zur Beurteilung und zum Vergleich der Struktur und Wettbewerbsfähigkeit einzelner Standorte, zur Ableitung erwarteter gesamtwirtschaftlicher Strukturtrends und zur Analyse einzelbetrieblicher Daten in die Studie einbezogen.

Suggested Citation

  • Joachim Ragnitz & Stefan Arent & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Beate Schirwitz & Johannes Steinbrecher & Gerit Vogt & Björn Ziegenbalg, 2010. "Methodenexpertise zur Analyse der Auswirkungen der internationalen Finanz- und Wirtschaftskrise auf die Wirtschaft im Land Brandenburg : Gutachten im Auftrag des Ministeriums für Wirtschaft des Landes," ifo Dresden Studien, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 53.
  • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodrs:53
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • E30 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General
    • R11 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Regional Economic Activity: Growth, Development, Environmental Issues, and Changes

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