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Vierteljährliche volkswirtschaftliche Gesamtrechnungen für Sachsen mit Hilfe temporaler Disaggregation

  • Wolfgang Nierhaus

    ()

Mit der hier vorgestellten Vierteljahresrechnung soll eine Datenlücke in der regionalen Volkswirtschaftlichen Gesamtrechnung des Freistaates Sachsen geschlossen werden. Mit Hilfe des Verfahrens der temporalen Disaggregation wird ein vierteljährliches Zahlenwerk erstellt, das mit den amtlichen Jahresergebnissen des Arbeitskreises Volkswirtschaftliche Gesamtrechnungen der Länder konsistent ist. Dabei werden Jahreswerte regressionsanalytisch unter Verwendung höher frequenter Referenzindikatoren in vierteljährliche Aggregate umgewandelt. Vorrangig wird auf sächsische Indikatoren zugegriffen; fehlen diese, so werden näherungsweise bundesdeutsche Daten verwendet.

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File URL: http://www.cesifo-group.de/portal/page/portal/DocBase_Content/ZS/ZS-ifo_Dresden_berichtet/zs-drber-2007/ifodb_2007_4_24_36.pdf
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Article provided by Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich in its journal ifo Dresden berichtet.

Volume (Year): 14 (2007)
Issue (Month): 04 (08)
Pages: 24-36

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Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:14:y:2007:i:04:p:24-36
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  1. Tödter, Karl-Heinz, 2005. "Umstellung der deutschen VGR auf Vorjahrespreisbasis," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 2005,31, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre.
  2. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2004. "Zur Einführung der Vorjahrespreisbasis in der deutschen Statistik: Besonderheiten der Quartalsrechnung," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(15), pages 14-21, 08.
  3. Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2004. "Wirtschaftswachstum in den VGR: Zur Einführung der Vorjahrespreisbasis in der deutschen Statistik," Ifo Schnelldienst, Ifo Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 57(05), pages 28-34, 03.
  4. Chow, Gregory C & Lin, An-loh, 1971. "Best Linear Unbiased Interpolation, Distribution, and Extrapolation of Time Series by Related Series," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 53(4), pages 372-75, November.
  5. Kirchner, Robert, 1999. "Auswirkungen des neuen Saisonbereinigungsverfahrens Census X-12-ARIMA auf die aktuelle Wirtschaftsanalyse in Deutschland," Discussion Paper Series 1: Economic Studies 1999,07, Deutsche Bundesbank, Research Centre.
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