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Previsional Estimates Of The Romanian Economy In 2001 - The "Dobrescu" Macromodel Of The Romanian Transition Economy

Author

Listed:
  • Scutaru, Cornelia

    (Institute for Economic Forecasting, Romanian Academy, Bucharest)

Abstract

The study comprises previsional estimates for the Romanian economy in 2001 using the "Dobrescu" macromodel of the Romanian transition economy. The main economic indicators are monthly estimated for 2001 simulating a Rational Scenario and a Quasi-Lax Scenario. The indicators are: gross domestic product, domestic aggregate demand, export of goods and services, import of goods and services, foreign trade surplus or deficit, unemployment rate, current gross domestic product deflator and consumer price index.

Suggested Citation

  • Scutaru, Cornelia, 2002. "Previsional Estimates Of The Romanian Economy In 2001 - The "Dobrescu" Macromodel Of The Romanian Transition Economy," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 30-38, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v::y:2002:i:2:p:30-38
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    forecasting; macroeconomic indicators; simulation scenarios.;

    JEL classification:

    • E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General

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