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A Deterministic Method For Short-Term Gdp Evaluation

Author

Listed:
  • Stanica, Cristian Nicolae

    (Institute for Economic Forecasting, Romanian Academy, Bucharest)

Abstract

The paper attempts to estimate the monthly components of the nominal GDP in order to obtain the monthly nominal GDP for the Romanian economy. All the quarterly time series are available at current prices since 1994 to 2001. The method is a deterministic algorithm that computes unobserved monthly series based on the information content in their quarterly data. The results show that the Romanian GDP reaches a maximum every year in October and a minimum in January.

Suggested Citation

  • Stanica, Cristian Nicolae, 2003. "A Deterministic Method For Short-Term Gdp Evaluation," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(2), pages 122-132, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v::y:2003:i:2:p:122-132
    as

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    interpolation; monthly nominal GDP; GDP decomposition; national accounts;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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