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Updated Scenarios For The Romanian Economy Medium-Term Dynamics

Author

Listed:
  • Dobrescu, Emilian

    (The National Institute of Economic Research, Romanian Academy, Bucharest)

Abstract

The study is based on the 2000 version of the Romanian economy macromodel, amended only by updating the inflation econometric function. The paper presents the estimations for 2001, and, having in view the "Pre-Accession Economic Programme" the author presents two scenarios (a desirable, optimistic one, and a moderate one) for 2002. The estimations of the major macroeconomic indicators are presented in both scenarios for the period 2003-2005. * (Paper prepared for the ESEN2 Project of the Romanian Academy)

Suggested Citation

  • Dobrescu, Emilian, 2002. "Updated Scenarios For The Romanian Economy Medium-Term Dynamics," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(1), pages 5-16, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:rjr:romjef:v::y:2002:i:1:p:5-16
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    Cited by:

    1. Mihaela Simionescu (Bratu), 2014. "The Performance of Predictions Based on the Dobrescu Macromodel for the Romanian Economy," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(3), pages 179-195, October.
    2. Dobrescu, Emilian, 2002. "Macromodel Estimation for the Romanian "Pre-Accession Economic Programme"," Journal for Economic Forecasting, Institute for Economic Forecasting, vol. 0(5), pages 5-38, December.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    scenario; macromodel; simulation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E50 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - General

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