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The effectiveness of the counter-cyclical loan-to-value regulation: Generic versus sector-specific rules

Author

Listed:
  • Guangling Liu

    (Department of Economics, University of Stellenbosch)

  • Thabang Molise

    (Department of Economics, University of Stellenbosch)

Abstract

This paper considers the implications of the counter-cyclical loan-to-value (CcLTV) regulation in a setting where different types of borrowers from distinct sectors of the credit market co-exist. To identify the optimal policy design, we consider two macro-prudential policy regimes, nanely generic and sector-specific, and compare their effectiveness in enhancing financial and macroeconomic stability. The results show that both regimes are effective in this regard, especially when the economy is hit by financial and housing demand shocks. The effectiveness of both regimes is, however, shock-dependent. To enhance the effectiveness of CcLTV regulation, we argue that the regulator should consider borrowers' heterogeneity and the origin of the shocks, and tailor the CcLTV regulation according to the specific conditions of each sector of the credit market, rather than to the aggregate conditions. In this way, the regulator can directly target the specific sector or borrower type.

Suggested Citation

  • Guangling Liu & Thabang Molise, 2019. "The effectiveness of the counter-cyclical loan-to-value regulation: Generic versus sector-specific rules," Working Papers 21/2019, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:sza:wpaper:wpapers335
    as

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    File URL: https://www.ekon.sun.ac.za/wpapers/2019/wp212019/wp212019.1.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Macro-prudential policy; Counter-cyclical LTV regulation; DSGE; Financial stability; Household credit; Corporate credit;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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