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Endogenous credit standards and aggregate fluctuations

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  • Ravn, Søren Hove

Abstract

Widespread empirical evidence shows that credit standards fluctuate over the business cycle. We build a macroeconomic model in which countercyclical lending standards emerge as an equilibrium outcome. In the model, banks compete on lending rates as well as collateral requirements. The presence of lending relationships between firms and banks gives rise to endogenous fluctuations in interest rate margins and collateral requirements. We demonstrate that endogenous credit standards amplify business cycles, driving up output volatility by around 25% when compared to a model without lending relationships. Finally, we show that in order to combat the effects of endogenous credit standards on macroeconomic volatility, a countercyclical loan-to-value ratio is an effective macroprudential policy tool.

Suggested Citation

  • Ravn, Søren Hove, 2016. "Endogenous credit standards and aggregate fluctuations," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 89-111.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:dyncon:v:69:y:2016:i:c:p:89-111
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2016.05.011
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    Cited by:

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    2. Gete, Pedro, 2018. "Lending standards and macroeconomic dynamics," Working Paper Series 2207, European Central Bank.
    3. Leroy, Aurélien & Lucotte, Yannick, 2019. "Competition and credit procyclicality in European banking," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 237-251.
    4. Guangling Liu & Thabang Molise, 2019. "The effectiveness of the counter-cyclical loan-to-value regulation: Generic versus sector-specific rules," Working Papers 21/2019, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.
    5. Giovanni Melina & Stefania Villa, 2018. "Leaning Against Windy Bank Lending," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 56(1), pages 460-482, January.
    6. Olszak, Małgorzata & Kowalska, Iwona, 2023. "Do competition and market structure affect sensitivity of bank profitability to the business cycle?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    7. Buesa, Alejandro & De Quinto, Alicia & Población, Javier, 2022. "Risky mortgages, credit shocks and cross-border spillovers," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 717-733.
    8. Olszak, Małgorzata & Kowalska, Iwona, 2022. "Does bank competition matter for the effects of macroprudential policy on the procyclicality of lending?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    9. Lenhle Dlamini & Harold Ngalawa, 2022. "Macroprudential policy and house prices in an estimated Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium model for South Africa," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(2), pages 304-336, June.
    10. Sangyup Choi, 2018. "Bank Lending Standards, Loan Demand, and the Macroeconomy: Evidence from the Emerging Market Bank Loan Officer Survey," Working papers 2018rwp-126, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
    11. Claudio O. de Moraes & Gustavo F.S. Duarte & Renan F. Nascimento, 2022. "Credit information and financial development," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(2), pages 2182-2193, April.
    12. Liu, Guangling & Molise, Thabang, 2021. "The effectiveness of the counter-cyclical loan-to-value regulation: Generic versus sector-specific rules," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 270-288.
    13. Dimitrios Anastasiou & Konstantinos Drakos & Stylianos Giannoulakis, 2018. "Are Bank Credit Standards Affected by the Business Cycle? Evidence from the Euro Area," Applied Economics Quarterly (formerly: Konjunkturpolitik), Duncker & Humblot GmbH, Berlin, vol. 64(1), pages 5-16.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Credit standards; Collateral assets; Deep habits; Business cycle fluctuations; DSGE modeling;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Investment; Capital; Intangible Capital; Capacity
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General
    • G28 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Government Policy and Regulation

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