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Land-price dynamics and macroeconomic fluctuations

  • Zheng Liu
  • Pengfei Wang
  • Tao Zha

We argue that positive co-movements between land prices and business investment are a driving force behind the broad impact of land-price dynamics on the macroeconomy. We develop an economic mechanism that captures the co-movements by incorporating two key features into a DSGE model: We introduce land as a collateral asset in firms' credit constraints and we identify a shock that drives most of the observed fluctuations in land prices. Our estimates imply that these two features combine to generate an empirically important mechanism that amplifies and propagates macroeconomic fluctuations through the joint dynamics of land prices and business investment.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 17045.

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Date of creation: May 2011
Date of revision:
Publication status: published as Zheng Liu & Pengfei Wang & Tao Zha, 2013. "Land‐Price Dynamics and Macroeconomic Fluctuations," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 81(3), pages 1147-1184, 05.
Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:17045
Note: EFG ME
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