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Inferring an Investment Return Series for Real Estate from Observations on Sales

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  • Daniel C. Quan
  • John M. Quigley

Abstract

Accurate measurement of the returns to real estate investment are essential to sound analysis. This paper improves upon the traditionally employed method—collecting comparable sales data. A dynamic model of real estate appraisal is developed in which agents have incomplete information, heterogeneous search costs, and varying expectations. Various types of simulation analysis of the model indicate it performs best in the sense that the return estimate converges to the true value faster than other simpler rules.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniel C. Quan & John M. Quigley, 1989. "Inferring an Investment Return Series for Real Estate from Observations on Sales," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 17(2), pages 218-230, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:bla:reesec:v:17:y:1989:i:2:p:218-230
    DOI: 10.1111/1540-6229.00487
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