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Competition and Credit Procyclicality in European Banking

Author

Listed:
  • Aurelien Leroy

    (Larefi - Laboratoire d'analyse et de recherche en économie et finance internationales - UB - Université de Bordeaux)

  • Yannick Lucotte

Abstract

This paper empirically assesses how competition in the banking sector affects credit procyclicality by estimating both an interacted panel VAR model using macroeconomic data and a single-equation model with bank-level data. These two empirical approaches show that a deviation of actual GDP from potential GDP leads to greater credit fluctuations in economies where bank competition is weak. This suggests that increased market power for banks increases the financial accelerator mechanism, which is consistent with recent macroeconomic models showing that monopolistic banking tends to increase macroeconomic volatility by making credit cheaper during booms and more expensive during recessions.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Suggested Citation

  • Aurelien Leroy & Yannick Lucotte, 2019. "Competition and Credit Procyclicality in European Banking," Post-Print hal-03356035, HAL.
    • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-03356035
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2018.12.004
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    Cited by:

    1. Jéfferson Colombo & Peter Wanke & Jorge Antunes & Abul Kalam Azad, 2022. "Unveiling endogeneity between competition and efficiency in European banks: a robust econometric-neural network approach," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 2(3), pages 1-46, March.
    2. Sleibi, Yacoub & Casalin, Fabrizio & Fazio, Giorgio, 2020. "Bank-specific shocks and aggregate leverage: Empirical evidence from a panel of developed countries," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
    3. El Moussawi, Chawki & Mansour, Rana, 2022. "Competition, cost efficiency and stability of banks in the MENA region," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 143-170.
    4. Michal Rubaszek & David Stenvall & Gazi Salah Uddin, 2025. "Rental market structure and housing dynamics: An interacted panel VAR investigation," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(1), pages 781-802, January.
    5. Kouretas, Georgios P. & Pawłowska, Małgorzata, 2020. "Does change in the market structure have any impact on different types of bank loans in the EU?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    6. Kouretas, Georgios P. & Pawłowska, Małgorzata & Szafrański, Grzegorz, 2020. "Market structure and credit procyclicality: Lessons from loan markets in the European Union banking sectors," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 27-50.
    7. Michael Sigmund, 2021. "Assessing macro-prudential policies: the case of FX lending," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 45(2), pages 316-359, April.
    8. Olszak, Małgorzata & Kowalska, Iwona, 2023. "Do competition and market structure affect sensitivity of bank profitability to the business cycle?," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    9. Yahya, Farzan & Lee, Chien-Chiang, 2023. "Disentangling the asymmetric effect of financialization on the green output gap," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C).
    10. Carmelo Algeri & Antonio F. Forgione & Carlo Migliardo, 2022. "Do spatial dependence and market power matter in the diversification of cooperative banks?," Economic Notes, Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA, vol. 51(3), November.
    11. Dąbrowski, Marek A. & Papież, Monika & Rubaszek, Michał & Śmiech, Sławomir, 2022. "The role of economic development for the effect of oil market shocks on oil-exporting countries. Evidence from the interacted panel VAR model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    12. Olszak, Małgorzata & Kowalska, Iwona, 2022. "Does bank competition matter for the effects of macroprudential policy on the procyclicality of lending?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    13. Tan Ngoc Vu & Chi Minh Ho & Thang Cong Nguyen & Duc Hong Vo, 2020. "The Determinants of Risk Transmission between Oil and Agricultural Prices: An IPVAR Approach," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-14, April.
    14. Shaffer, Sherrill & Spierdijk, Laura, 2020. "Measuring multi-product banks’ market power using the Lerner index," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    15. Juan Carlos Cuestas & Yannick Lucotte & Nicolas Reigl, 2022. "The evolution and heterogeneity of credit procyclicality in Central and Eastern Europe," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 911-942, January.
    16. Kukk, Merike & Levenko, Natalia, 2024. "Interest rate spreads: Different stories for different types of loan," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 72(PA).
    17. Michael Dreyfuss & Yahel Giat & Eran Manes, 2024. "More Quality, Less Trust?," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-18, December.
    18. Khwazi Magubane, 2025. "The Stability of the Financial Cycle: Insights from a Markov Switching Regression in South Africa," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 18(2), pages 1-30, February.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General
    • D40 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design - - - General
    • C33 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models

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