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Cyclically Adjusted Provisions and Financial Stability

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  • Pierre-Richard Agénor
  • L. Pereira da Silva

Abstract

This paper studies the extent to which alternative loan loss provisioning regimes affect the procyclicality of the financial system and financial stability. It uses a DSGE model with financial frictions (namely, balance sheet and collateral effects, as well as economies of scope in banking) and a generic formulation of provisioning regimes. Numerical experiments with a parameterized version of the model show that cyclically adjusted (or, more commonly called, dynamic) provisioning can be highly effective in terms of mitigating procyclicality and financial instability, measured in terms of the volatility of the credit-output ratio and real house prices, in response to financial shocks. The optimal combination of simple cyclically adjusted provisioning and countercyclical reserve requirements rules is also studied. The simultaneous use of these instruments does not improve the ability of either one of them to mitigate financial instability, making them partial substitutes rather than complements.

Suggested Citation

  • Pierre-Richard Agénor & L. Pereira da Silva, 2015. "Cyclically Adjusted Provisions and Financial Stability," Centre for Growth and Business Cycle Research Discussion Paper Series 216, Economics, The Univeristy of Manchester.
  • Handle: RePEc:man:cgbcrp:216
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    Cited by:

    1. Pierre-Richard Agénor & Enisse Kharroubi & Leonardo Gambacorta & Giovanni Lombardo & Luiz Awazu Pereira da Silva, 2017. "The international dimensions of macroprudential policies," BIS Working Papers 643, Bank for International Settlements.
    2. Agénor, Pierre-Richard & Alper, Koray & Pereira da Silva, Luiz, 2018. "External shocks, financial volatility and reserve requirements in an open economy," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 23-43.
    3. repec:eee:glofin:v:35:y:2018:i:c:p:202-222 is not listed on IDEAS
    4. repec:eee:finsta:v:36:y:2018:i:c:p:114-129 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Serafín Frache & Jorge Ponce & Javier Garcia Cicco, 2017. "Countercyclical prudential tools in an estimated DSGE model," Documentos de trabajo 2017001, Banco Central del Uruguay.
    6. Francesco Aiello & Graziella Bonanno & Stefania Patrizia Sonia Rossi, 2019. "Risk Aversion And Entrepreneurship: Financing Innovation For Smes Across Europe. Evidence From Multilevel Models," Working Papers 201902, Università della Calabria, Dipartimento di Economia, Statistica e Finanza "Giovanni Anania" - DESF.
    7. Pierre-Richard Agénor & Luiz Awazu Pereira da Silva, 2019. "Global Banking, Financial Spillovers, and Macroprudential Policy Coordination," BIS Working Papers 764, Bank for International Settlements.
    8. repec:eee:finsta:v:31:y:2017:i:c:p:136-153 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. repec:eee:finsta:v:39:y:2018:i:c:p:209-220 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Guangling Liu & Thabang Molise, 2018. "Is Basel III counter-cyclical: The case of South Africa?," Working Papers 10/2018, Stellenbosch University, Department of Economics.

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    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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