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Provisioning rules and bank lending: A theoretical model

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  • Vincent Bouvatier

    () (EconomiX - UPN - Université Paris Nanterre - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Laetitia Lepetit

    () (LAPE - Laboratoire d'Analyse et de Prospective Economique - IR SHS UNILIM - Institut Sciences de l'Homme et de la Société - UNILIM - Université de Limoges)

Abstract

This paper develops a partial equilibrium model of a banking …rm to analyze how provisioning rules inuence loan market uctuations. We show that a backward-looking provisioning system ampli…es the pro-cyclicality of loan market uctuations. We demonstrate that, in a forward-looking provisioning system where statistical provisions are used to smooth the evolution of total loan loss provisions, the issue of pro-cyclicality of loan market uctuations does not exist. Our results support the recent call of the Basel Committee for the implementation of a forward-looking provisioning system to address procyclicality. JEL classi…cation: G21 anonymous referees for their helpful comments. The usual disclaimer applies.

Suggested Citation

  • Vincent Bouvatier & Laetitia Lepetit, 2012. "Provisioning rules and bank lending: A theoretical model," Post-Print hal-01098957, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01098957
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jfs.2011.04.001
    Note: View the original document on HAL open archive server: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01098957
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Monica Hernandez, 2017. "An Unintended Consequence of Uncoordinated International Monetary Policy on Central America," Working Papers 1728, New School for Social Research, Department of Economics.
    2. Vincent Bouvatier & Laetitia Lepetit, 2012. "Effects of Loan Loss Provisions on Growth in Bank Lending: Some International Comparisons," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 132, pages 91-116.
    3. Agénor, Pierre-Richard & Pereira da Silva, Luiz, 2017. "Cyclically adjusted provisions and financial stability," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 143-162.
    4. Agénor, Pierre-Richard & Pereira da Silva, Luiz, 2017. "Cyclically adjusted provisions and financial stability," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 143-162.
    5. Vithessonthi, Chaiporn, 2016. "Deflation, bank credit growth, and non-performing loans: Evidence from Japan," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 295-305.
    6. Balla, Eliana & Rose, Morgan J., 2015. "Loan loss provisions, accounting constraints, and bank ownership structure," Journal of Economics and Business, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 92-117.
    7. Delis, Manthos D. & Karavias, Yiannis, 2015. "Optimal versus realized bank credit risk and monetary policy," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 16(C), pages 13-30.
    8. de Haan, Leo & van Oordt, Maarten R.C., 2018. "Timing of banks’ loan loss provisioning during the crisis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 293-303.
    9. Pool, Sebastiaan & de Haan, Leo & Jacobs, Jan P.A.M., 2015. "Loan loss provisioning, bank credit and the real economy," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 124-136.
    10. Andres Murcia & Emanuel Kohlscheen, 2016. "Moving in tandem: bank provisioning in emerging market economies," BIS Working Papers 548, Bank for International Settlements.
    11. Serafín Frache & Javier García-Cicco & Jorge Ponce, 2017. "Countercyclical Prudential Tools in an Estimated DSGE Model," Documentos de Trabajo (working papers) 0917, Department of Economics - dECON.
    12. repec:lan:wpaper:68464009 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Ashim Kumar Kar, 2017. "Income Smoothing, Capital Management and Provisioning Behaviour of Microfinance Institutions: A Study Using Global Panel Data," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 29(1), pages 108-126, January.
    14. Nippel, Peter, 2015. "Eine finanzwirtschaftliche Analyse der Risikovorsorge für erwartete Verluste im Kreditgeschäft," Manuskripte aus den Instituten für Betriebswirtschaftslehre der Universität Kiel 659, Christian-Albrechts-Universität zu Kiel, Institut für Betriebswirtschaftslehre.
    15. Hribar, Paul & Melessa, Samuel J. & Small, R. Christopher & Wilde, Jaron H., 2017. "Does managerial sentiment affect accrual estimates? Evidence from the banking industry," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 63(1), pages 26-50.
    16. Agénor, Pierre-Richard & Zilberman, Roy, 2015. "Loan Loss Provisioning Rules, Procyclicality, and Financial Volatility," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 301-315.
    17. repec:fau:fauart:v:68:y:2018:i:3:p:202-244 is not listed on IDEAS
    18. Hopp, Janina & Nippel, Peter, 2015. "Periodenerfolgsmessung und Risikovorsorge im Kreditgeschäft: Ein grundlegender Überblick und Vergleich alternativer Ansätze der Bewertung von Kreditforderungen," Manuskripte aus den Instituten für Betriebswirtschaftslehre der Universität Kiel 662, Christian-Albrechts-Universität zu Kiel, Institut für Betriebswirtschaftslehre.
    19. Bijsterbosch, Martin & Falagiarda, Matteo, 2015. "The macroeconomic impact of financial fragmentation in the euro area: Which role for credit supply?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 93-115.
    20. Chitan Gheorghe, 2013. "Is Adequate The Method Of Loan Loss Provisioning? - Evidence From Romania," Annals of Faculty of Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, vol. 1(1), pages 1062-1069, July.
    21. Beatty, Anne & Liao, Scott, 2014. "Financial accounting in the banking industry: A review of the empirical literature," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 58(2), pages 339-383.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    loan market; provisioning system; pro-cyclicality;

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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