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Konjunktur deutlich abgekühlt — politische Risiken hoch
[Significant Cooling of the Economy — Political Risks High]

Author

Listed:
  • Roland Döhrn

    (RWI - Leibniz-Inst. f. Wirtschaftsforschung)

  • Oliver Holtemöller

    (Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle)

  • Stefan Kooths

    (Institut für Weltwirtschaft)

  • Claus Michelsen

    (DIW Berlin)

  • Timo Wollmershäuser

    (ifo Zentrum für Konjunkturforschung)

Abstract

Zusammenfassung Die Konjunktur in Deutschland hat sich seit Mitte des Jahres 2018 merklich abgekühlt. Der langjährige Aufschwung ist damit offenbar zu einem Ende gekommen. Die schwächere Dynamik wurde sowohl vom internationalen Umfeld als auch von branchenspezifischen Ereignissen ausgelöst. Die weltwirtschaftlichen Rahmenbedingungen haben sich — auch aufgrund politischer Risiken — eingetrübt, und das Verarbeitende Gewerbe hat mit Produktionshemmnissen zu kämpfen. Die deutsche Wirtschaft durchläuft nunmehr eine Abkühlungsphase, in der die gesamtwirtschaftliche Überauslastung zurückgeht.

Suggested Citation

  • Roland Döhrn & Oliver Holtemöller & Stefan Kooths & Claus Michelsen & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2019. "Konjunktur deutlich abgekühlt — politische Risiken hoch [Significant Cooling of the Economy — Political Risks High]," Wirtschaftsdienst, Springer;ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 99(4), pages 262-266, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:wirtsc:v:99:y:2019:i:4:d:10.1007_s10273-019-2441-9
    DOI: 10.1007/s10273-019-2441-9
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    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E62 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Fiscal Policy; Modern Monetary Theory
    • E66 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General Outlook and Conditions

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