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Sistema de inferencia difuso para la inflación en Colombia

Author

Listed:
  • Jacobo Campo Robledo
  • Mónica Enciso Pulido
  • Andrés Acosta Hernández

Abstract

El sistema de inferencia difuso para la inflación en Colombia considera valoraciones subjetivas, las cuales son aproximadas a valores precisos, esto es aplicado a variables económicas consideradas determinantes de la inflación, y su aplicación muestra una nueva posibilidad para el análisis y pronóstico de uno de los indicadores macroeconómicos con mayor relevancia en las decisiones que deben tomar las autoridades económicas. Los resultados de la aplicación de este sistema muestran el comportamiento esperado; en este sentido, se puede afirmar que la aplicación de la lógica difusa a un problema, como proyectar la tasa de inflación anual, es válido y se convierte en una novedosa herramienta que abre la puerta al estudio de nuevos mecanismos que puedan ser implementados en la toma de decisiones de política monetaria.

Suggested Citation

  • Jacobo Campo Robledo & Mónica Enciso Pulido & Andrés Acosta Hernández, 2013. "Sistema de inferencia difuso para la inflación en Colombia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 31(71), pages 73-84, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:col:000107:010889
    DOI: 10.1016/S0120-4483(13)70012-5
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    Keywords

    Lógica clásica; Lógica difusa; Función de pertenencia; Sistema de inferencia difuso; Difusificación; Defusificación; Reglas difusas; Inflación;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • A12 - General Economics and Teaching - - General Economics - - - Relation of Economics to Other Disciplines
    • C15 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Statistical Simulation Methods: General
    • C61 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Optimization Techniques; Programming Models; Dynamic Analysis
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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