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Straightforward approximate stochastic equilibria for nonlinear rational expectations models

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  • Michael K. Johnston
  • Robert G. King
  • Denny Lie

Abstract

We present a new approach to the approximation of equilibrium solutions to nonlinear rational expectations models that applies to any order of approximation. The approach relies on a particular version of Taylor series approximations - the differential version - and on a scalar perturbation of the support of the entire history of shocks. The resulting solution for any order can always be directly cast in a linear state-space form, permitting the solution to be used for many practical applications such as forecasting, estimation, and computing impulse responses. Using the approach, we show that there cannot be multiple solutions in any order of approximation if the associated first-order approximate solution is determinate. Our approach can be used simply to verify key propositions of the earlier literature, to extend its range of applications, and to resolve puzzles left by it. While the paper only provides an explicit solution up to a third-order approximation, extensions to any higher order approximations are straightforward.

Suggested Citation

  • Michael K. Johnston & Robert G. King & Denny Lie, 2014. "Straightforward approximate stochastic equilibria for nonlinear rational expectations models," CAMA Working Papers 2014-59, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
  • Handle: RePEc:een:camaaa:2014-59
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    File URL: https://cama.crawford.anu.edu.au/sites/default/files/publication/cama_crawford_anu_edu_au/2014-09/59_2014_johnston_king_lie.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Denny Lie, 2009. "State-dependent pricing and optimal monetary policy," Working Papers 09-20, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston.
    2. Yunjong Eo & Denny Lie, 2020. "The Role of Inflation Target Adjustment in Stabilization Policy," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 52(8), pages 2007-2052, December.
    3. Mutschler, Willi, 2015. "Note on Higher-Order Statistics for the Pruned-State-Space of nonlinear DSGE models," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 113138, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    4. Michael K. Johnston & Robert G. King & Denny Lie, 2014. "Straightforward approximate stochastic equilibria for nonlinear rational expectations models," CAMA Working Papers 2014-59, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis, Crawford School of Public Policy, The Australian National University.
    5. Mutschler, Willi, 2015. "Identification of DSGE models—The effect of higher-order approximation and pruning," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 34-54.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Solution methods; higher order approximations; perturbation; differential Taylor series approximation; nonlinear rational expectations models; pruning; DSGE;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications

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