IDEAS home Printed from
   My bibliography  Save this article

Die mittelfristige wirtschaftliche Entwicklung in Deutschland für die Jahre 2015 bis 2020


  • Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich
  • Heinisch, Katja
  • Holtemöller, Oliver
  • Loose, Brigitte
  • Zeddies, Götz


Nach der Mittelfristprojektion des IWH dürfte das Bruttoinlandsprodukt in Deutschland von 2015 bis 2020 um durchschnittlich 1½% wachsen; das nominale Bruttoinlandsprodukt wird wohl um durchschnittlich 3% zunehmen. Nach einer Unterauslastung der Kapazitäten in den Jahren 2015 und 2016 dürfte sich die Produktions-lücke im Jahr 2017 schließen. Aufgrund der Erholung des Euroraums und der Weltwirtschaft dürften vom Außenhandel in der mittleren Frist wieder leichte Impulse ausgehen; die konjunkturelle Dynamik wird aber nach wie vor von der Inlandsnachfrage bestimmt. Die Verbraucherpreise ziehen im Prognosezeitraum leicht an.

Suggested Citation

  • Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Loose, Brigitte & Zeddies, Götz, 2015. "Die mittelfristige wirtschaftliche Entwicklung in Deutschland für die Jahre 2015 bis 2020," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 3(5), pages 224-228.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:iwhkon:140975

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL:
    Download Restriction: no

    More about this item


    wirtschaftliche Entwicklung in Deutschland; Konjunktur; mittelfristige Projektion; Produktionspotenzial; Potenzialwachstum; Wirtschaftswachstum;

    JEL classification:

    • C53 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Forecasting and Prediction Models; Simulation Methods
    • E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E27 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E66 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General Outlook and Conditions
    • H68 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Forecasts of Budgets, Deficits, and Debt


    Access and download statistics


    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:zbw:iwhkon:140975. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics). General contact details of provider: .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    We have no references for this item. You can help adding them by using this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.