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Katja Heinisch

Personal Details

First Name:Katja
Middle Name:
Last Name:Heinisch
Suffix:
RePEc Short-ID:pdr65

Affiliation

(99%) Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle (IWH)

Halle, Germany
http://www.iwh-halle.de/

(0345) 7753-60
(0345) 7753-820
Kleine Märkerstrasse 8, 06108 Halle (Saale)
RePEc:edi:iwhhhde (more details at EDIRC)

(1%) Institut für Empirische Wirtschaftsforschung
Fachbereich Wirtschaftswissenschaften
Universität Osnabrück

Osnabrück, Germany
http://www.iew.uni-osnabrueck.de/

00495419692632
0541/969-6142
Rolandstrasse 8, 49069 Osnabrueck
RePEc:edi:ieosnde (more details at EDIRC)

Research output

as
Jump to: Working papers Articles

Working papers

  1. Heinisch, Katja & Scheufele, Rolf, 2017. "Should forecasters use real-time data to evaluate leading indicator models for GDP prediction? German evidence," IWH Discussion Papers 5/2017, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
  2. Heinisch, Katja & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2016. "The European refugee crisis and the natural rate of output," MPRA Paper 74905, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  3. Heinisch, Katja, 2016. "A real-time analysis on the importance of hard and soft data for nowcasting German GDP," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145864, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  4. Holtemöller, Oliver & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Drygalla, Andrej & Giesen, Sebastian & Hennecke, Peter & Kiesel, Konstantin & Loose, Brigitte & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Zeddies, Götz, 2015. "Ökonomische Wirksamkeit der Konjunktur stützenden finanzpolitischen Maßnahmen der Jahre 2008 und 2009. Forschungsvorhaben im Auftrag des Bundesministeriums der Finanzen," IWH Online 4/2015, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
  5. Drechsel, Katja & Giesen, Sebastian & Lindner, Axel, 2014. "Outperforming IMF Forecasts by the Use of Leading Indicators," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100393, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
  6. Holtemöller, Oliver & Altemeyer-Bartscher, Martin & Drechsel, Katja & Freye, Sabine & Zeddies, Götz, 2014. "Modelle zur Konjunkturbereinigung und deren Auswirkungen: Kurzgutachten im Auftrag des Landesrechnungshofes Mecklenburg-Vorpommern," IWH Online 2/2014, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
  7. Holtemöller, Oliver & Altemeyer-Bartscher, Martin & Drechsel, Katja & Zeddies, Götz, 2013. "Stellungnahme anlässlich der Öffentlichen Anhörung des Haushaltsausschusses des Hessischen Landtags am 04.06.2013 zum Gesetzentwurf der Fraktionen der CDU und der FDP für ein Gesetz zur Ausführung von," IWH Online 4/2013, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
  8. Drechsel, Katja & Giesen, Sebastian & Holtemöller, Oliver & Lindner, Axel, 2013. "Eignung von Frühindikatoren für die Prognose des Produktionszuwachses in der Welt und in der Gruppe der Entwicklungs- und Schwellenländer: Gutachten im Auftrag der KfW Bankengruppe," IWH Online 2/2013, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
  9. Katja Drechsel & Rolf Scheufele, 2012. "Bottom-up or Direct? Forecasting German GDP in a Data-rich Environment," Working Papers 2012-16, Swiss National Bank.
  10. Drechsel, Katja & Scheufele, Rolf, 2011. "The Financial Crisis from a Forecaster’s Perspective," IWH Discussion Papers 5/2011, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
  11. Drechsel, Katja & Scheufele, Rolf, 2010. "Should We Trust in Leading Indicators? Evidence from the Recent Recession," IWH Discussion Papers 10/2010, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
  12. Drechsel, Katja & Westermann, Frank, 2009. "Credit market imperfections, financial market regulation and business cycles in Eastern Europe," Proceedings of the German Development Economics Conference, Frankfurt a.M. 2009 40, Verein für Socialpolitik, Research Committee Development Economics.
  13. Maurin, Laurent & Drechsel, Katja, 2008. "Flow of conjunctural information and forecast of euro area economic activity," Working Paper Series 925, European Central Bank.

Articles

  1. Holtemöller, Oliver & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Claudio, João Carlos & Drygalla, Andrej & Exß, Franziska & Heinisch, Katja & Lindner, Axel & Rehbein, Oliver & Schultz, Birgit & Wieschemeyer, Matthias &, 2018. "Konjunktur aktuell: Deutscher Aufschwung schwächt sich ab," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 6(2), pages 24-41.
  2. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Claudio, João Carlos & Drygalla, Andrej & Exß, Franziska & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Lindner, Axel & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit, 2018. "Konjunktur aktuell: Aufschwung in Deutschland setzt sich trotz nachlassender Impulse aus dem Ausland fort," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 6(3), pages 44-61.
  3. Katja Heinisch & Rolf Scheufele, 2018. "Bottom-up or direct? Forecasting German GDP in a data-rich environment," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 705-745, March.
  4. Bershadskyy, Dmitri & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Claudio, João Carlos & Drygalla, Andrej & Exß, Franziska & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Lindner, Axel & Scherer, Jan-Christo, 2018. "Konjunktur aktuell: Konjunktur weiter stark, aber Risiken nehmen zu," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 6(1), pages 2-21.
  5. Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Lindner, Axel & Wieschemeyer, Matthias & Zeddies, Götz, 2018. "Mittelfristprojektion des IWH: Wirtschaftsentwicklung und Öffentliche Finanzen 2018 bis 2025," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 6(4), pages 105-114.
  6. Heinisch, Katja & Lindner, Axel, 2018. "For how long do IMF forecasts of world economic growth stay up-to-date?," EconStor Open Access Articles, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, pages 1-6.
  7. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Claudio, João Carlos & Drygalla, Andrej & Exß, Franziska & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Lindner, Axel & Müller, Isabella & Schultz, Birgit & Staff, 2018. "Konjunktur aktuell: Konjunktur in der Welt und in Deutschland verliert an Dynamik," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 6(4), pages 65-104.
  8. Bershadskyy, Dmitri & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Lindner, Axel & Wieschemeyer, Matthias & Zeddies, Götz, 2017. "Die mittelfristige wirtschaftliche Entwicklung in Deutschland für die Jahre 2017 bis 2022 und finanzpolitische Optionen einer neuen Bundesregierung," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 5(5), pages 138-145.
  9. Katja Heinisch & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2017. "The European refugee crisis and the natural rate of output," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(16), pages 1138-1142, September.
  10. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Claudio, João Carlos & Drygalla, Andrej & Exß, Franziska & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Scherer, Jan-Christop, 2017. "Konjunktur aktuell: Aufschwung in Deutschland und in der Welt," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 5(5), pages 97-137.
  11. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit , 2017. "Konjunktur aktuell: Gute Konjunktur in Deutschland und in der Welt," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 5(2), pages 40-55.
  12. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Claudio, João Carlos & Drygalla, Andrej & Exß, Franziska & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Scherer, Jan-Christop, 2017. "Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Wirtschaft legt kräftig zu," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 5(4), pages 72-92.
  13. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & Wieschemeyer, Matthi, 2017. "Konjunktur aktuell: Beschäftigungsboom in Deutschland - aber gesamtwirtschaftlich keine Überhitzung," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 5(1), pages 4-29.
  14. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Loose, Brigitte & Wieschemeyer, Matthias & Zeddies, Götz, 2016. "Die mittelfristige wirtschaftliche Entwicklung in Deutschland für die Jahre 2016 bis 2021," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 4(4), pages 155-158.
  15. Holtemöller, Oliver & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit , 2016. "Konjunktur aktuell: Stabile Konjunktur in Deutschland trotz krisenhaften Umfelds," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 4(1), pages 4-29.
  16. Holtemöller, Oliver & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit , 2016. "Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Wirtschaft weiter von Konsum und Bau beflügelt," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 4(4), pages 112-154.
  17. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit , 2016. "Konjunktur aktuell: Konjunktur in Deutschland bleibt trotz sinkender Stimmung robust," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 4(3), pages 92-107.
  18. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit , 2016. "Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Binnenkonjunktur weiter im Aufwind," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 4(2), pages 44-55.
  19. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit , 2015. "Robuste Binnenkonjunktur kompensiert schwächere Exportdynamik," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 3(5), pages 184-223.
  20. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Drygalla, Andrej & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz & Henn, 2015. "Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Konjunktur: Starkes Winterhalbjahr und weiter robuste Dynamik," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 3(2), pages 75-95.
  21. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Loose, Brigitte & Zeddies, Götz, 2015. "Die mittelfristige wirtschaftliche Entwicklung in Deutschland für die Jahre 2015 bis 2020," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 3(5), pages 224-228.
  22. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz, 2015. "Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Konjunktur kommt langsam wieder in Schwung," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 3(1), pages 5-43.
  23. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Drygalla, Andrej & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz, 2015. "Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Konjunktur: Aufschwung setzt sich fort," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 3(3), pages 100-108.
  24. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drygalla, Andrej & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Jan-Brigitte & Scherer, Christopher & Schultz, Birgit , 2015. "Konjunktur aktuell: Aufschwung in Deutschland bleibt verhalten," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 3(4), pages 155-179.
  25. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Loose, Brigitte & Zeddies, Götz, 2015. "Die mittelfristige wirtschaftliche Entwicklung in Deutschland für die Jahre 2014 bis 2019," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 3(1), pages 44-48.
  26. Drechsel, Katja, 2014. "Zu den Effekten der Generalrevision des Bruttoinlandsprodukts," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 20(4), pages 1-59.
  27. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz & H, 2014. "Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Konjunktur hat Schwung verloren," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 2(4), pages 163-174.
  28. Drechsel, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Loose, Brigitte & Zeddies, Götz, 2014. "Mittelfristige Projektion der wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung in den Jahren 2014 bis 2018," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 2(2), pages 102-105.
  29. Drechsel, Katja, 2014. "14th IWH-CIREQ Macroeconometric Workshop: “Forecasting and Big Data“," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 20(1), pages 1-11.
  30. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Birgit & Schultz, Jan-Christopher & Zeddies, Götz, 2014. "Binnenwirtschaft trägt Konjunktur in Deutschland," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 20(1), pages 3-4.
  31. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz & Henn, 2014. "Konjunktur aktuell: Konjunktur in Deutschland gewinnt an Schwung," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 2(2), pages 68-101.
  32. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Birgit & Schultz, Jan-Christopher & Zeddies, Götz, 2014. "Konjunktur aktuell: Binnenwirtschaft trägt Konjunktur in Deutschland," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 2(1), pages 3-35.
  33. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz, 2014. "Konjunktur aktuell: Binnennachfrage treibt Aufschwung in Deutschland," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 2(3), pages 112-118.
  34. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Loose, Brigitte & Zeddies, Götz, 2014. "Der Koalitionsvertrag und die mittelfristige wirtschaftliche Entwicklung in Deutschland – mittelfristige Projektion für die Jahre 2013 bis 2018," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 2(1), pages 36-40.
  35. Holtemöller, Oliver & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Kämpfe, Martina & Kiesel, Konstantin & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz, 2014. "Prognose-Update: Binnennachfrage treibt Aufschwung in Deutschland," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 20(3), pages 1-43.
  36. Holtemöller, Oliver & Drechsel, Katja & Loose, Brigitte & Zeddies, Götz, 2013. "Mittelfristige Projektion der wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung und der Staatsfinanzen in Deutschland," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 1(1), pages 33-37.
  37. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Giesen, Sebastian & Holtemöller, Oliver & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz, 2013. "Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Wirtschaft erholt sich seit dem Frühjahr," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 1(2), pages 102-107.
  38. Holtemöller, Oliver & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Giesen, Sebastian & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & , 2013. "Konjunktur aktuell: Konjunkturelle Flaute zum Jahresende 2012 – aber auch Anzeichen für eine mäßige Brise im neuen Jahr," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 1(1), pages 3-32.
  39. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Giesen, Sebastian & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & , 2013. "Rückkehr des Vertrauens beflügelt Konjunktur in Deutschland," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 1(2), pages 55-94.
  40. Drechsel, Katja & El-Shagi, Makram, 2013. "3. IWH/INFER-Workshop on Applied Economics and Economic Policy „State of the Euro – State of the Union“ – ein Konferenzbericht," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 19(3), pages 57-58.
  41. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz & Dove, 2013. "Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Wirtschaft im Aufschwung," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 1(4), pages 144-177.
  42. Holtemöller, Oliver & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Giesen, Sebastian & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & , 2013. "Konjunkturelle Flaute zum Jahresende 2012 – aber auch Anzeichen für eine mäßige Brise im neuen Jahr," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 19(1), pages 4-5.
  43. Holtemöller, Oliver & Drechsel, Katja & Loose, Brigitte, 2012. "Mittelfristige Projektion der wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 18(8-9), pages 259-262.
  44. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Giesen, Sebastian & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz & Dovern, Jon, 2012. "Konjunktur aktuell: Eurokrise nimmt deutscher Konjunktur den Wind aus den Segeln," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 18(8-9), pages 228-258.
  45. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Schultz, Birgit, 2012. "Unbezahlte Überstunden in Deutschland," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 18(10), pages 308-315.
  46. Drechsel, Katja & Scheufele, Rolf, 2012. "The performance of short-term forecasts of the German economy before and during the 2008/2009 recession," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 428-445.
  47. Katja Drechsel & Rolf Scheufele, 2012. "The Financial Crisis from a Forecaster’s Perspective," Credit and Capital Markets, Credit and Capital Markets, vol. 45(1), pages 1-26.
  48. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Drygalla, Andrej & El-Shagi, Makram & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, , 2012. "Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Wirtschaft überwindet die kurze Schwächephase," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 18(3), pages 80-113.
  49. Holtemöller, Oliver & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & van Deuverden, Kristina & Drechsel, Katja & Drygalla, Andrej & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Ludwig, Udo & Schult, 2012. "Konjunktur aktuell: Europäische Schulden- und Vertrauenskrise bringt deutsche Konjunktur ins Stocken," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 18(1), pages 4-40.
  50. Holtemöller, Oliver & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & van Deuverden, Kristina & Dietrich, Diemo & Drechsel, Katja & Drygalla, Andrej & El-Shagi, Makram & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel, 2011. "Konjunktur aktuell: Aufschwung in Deutschland geht weiter – Krisenprävention und Krisenmanagement in Europa unter Reformdruck," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 17(1), pages 6-32.
  51. Katja Drechsel & Laurent Maurin, 2011. "Flow of conjunctural information and forecast of euro area economic activity," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(3), pages 336-354, April.
  52. Holtemöller, Oliver & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte, 2011. "Konjunktur aktuell: 2011 nochmals kräftige Zunahme des Bruttoinlandsproduktes in Deutschland," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 17(6), pages 208-209.
  53. Drechsel, Katja & El-Shagi, Makram, 2011. "Bericht über den IWH/INFER-Workshop on Applied Economics and Economic Policy," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 17(4), pages 169-172.
  54. Holtemöller, Oliver & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & van Deuverden, Kristina & Dietrich, Diemo & Drechsel, Katja & El-Shagi, Makram & Giesen, Sebastian & Kämpfe, Martina & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte, 2010. "Konjunktur aktuell: Die Erholung legt nur eine kurze Pause ein," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 16(3), pages 144-157.
  55. Holtemöller, Oliver & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & van Deuverden, Kristina & Dietrich, Diemo & Drechsel, Katja & El-Shagi, Makram & Giesen, Sebastian & Kämpfe, Martina & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte, 2010. "Konjunktur aktuell: Langsame Erholung ermöglicht Einstieg in die Konsolidierung," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 16(1), pages 8-41.

Citations

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Working papers

  1. Heinisch, Katja & Scheufele, Rolf, 2017. "Should forecasters use real-time data to evaluate leading indicator models for GDP prediction? German evidence," IWH Discussion Papers 5/2017, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).

    Cited by:

    1. Robert Lehmann, 2020. "The Forecasting Power of the ifo Business Survey," CESifo Working Paper Series 8291, CESifo.

  2. Heinisch, Katja & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2016. "The European refugee crisis and the natural rate of output," MPRA Paper 74905, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    Cited by:

    1. Timo Wollmershäuser & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Nikolay Hristov & Dorine Boumans & Marcell Göttert & Christian Grimme & S. Lauterbacher & Robert Lehmann & Wolfgang Meister & Andreas Peichl & Magnus Reif & F, 2017. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2017/2018: Deutsche Wirtschaft stark und stabil," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(12), pages 30-83, June.
    2. Timo Wollmershäuser & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Nikolay Hristov & Dorine Boumans & Johanna Garnitz & Marcell Göttert & Christian Grimme & Stefan Lauterbacher & Robert Lehmann & Wolfgang Meister & Magnus Rei, 2016. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2016–2018: Robuste deutsche Konjunktur vor einem Jahr ungewisser internationaler Wirtschaftspolitik," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 69(24), pages 28-73, December.
    3. Timo Wollmershäuser & Silvia Delrio & Clemens Fuest & Marcell Göttert & Christian Grimme & Carla Krolage & Stefan Lautenbacher & Robert Lehmann & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Andreas Peichl & Magnus Reif & Rad, 2017. "ifo Konjunkturprognose 2017–2019: Deutsche Wirtschaft auf dem Weg in die Hochkonjunktur," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 70(24), pages 28-81, December.
    4. Timo Wollmershäuser & Florian Eckert & Marcell Göttert & Christian Grimme & Carla Krolage & Stefan Lautenbacher & Robert Lehmann & Sebastian Link & Heiner Mikosch & Stefan Neuwirth & Wolfgang Nierhaus, 2019. "ifo Konjunkturprognose Winter 2019: Deutsche Konjunktur stabilisiert sich," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 72(24), pages 27-89, December.
    5. Timo Wollmershäuser & Marcell Göttert & Christian Grimme & Carla Krolage & Stefan Lautenbacher & Robert Lehmann & Sebastian Link & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Ann-Christin Rathje & Magnus Reif & Anna-Pauliina, 2019. "ifo Konjunkturprognose Sommer 2019: Deutsche Konjunktur ohne Schwung," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 72(12), pages 25-78, June.
    6. Timo Wollmershäuser & Silvia Delrio & Marcell Göttert & Christian Grimme & Jochen Güntner & Carla Krolage & Stefan Lautenbacher & Robert Lehmann & Sebastian Link & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Magnus Reif & Ra, 2018. "ifo Konjunkturprognose Sommer 2018: Gewitterwolken am deutschen Konjunkturhimmel," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(12), pages 33-87, June.
    7. Timo Wollmershäuser & Marcell Göttert & Christian Grimme & Carla Krolage & Stefan Lautenbacher & Robert Lehmann & Sebastian Link & Wolfgang Nierhaus & Ann-Christin Rathje & Magnus Reif & Radek Šauer &, 2018. "ifo Konjunkturprognose Winter 2018: Deutsche Konjunktur kühlt sich ab," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 71(24), pages 28-82, December.
    8. Breuer, Sebastian & Elstner, Steffen, 2017. "Die Wachstumsperspektiven der deutschen Wirtschaft vor dem Hintergrund des demografischen Wandels: Die Mittelfristprojektion des Sachverständigenrates," Working Papers 07/2017, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung.

  3. Holtemöller, Oliver & Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Drygalla, Andrej & Giesen, Sebastian & Hennecke, Peter & Kiesel, Konstantin & Loose, Brigitte & Meier, Carsten-Patrick & Zeddies, Götz, 2015. "Ökonomische Wirksamkeit der Konjunktur stützenden finanzpolitischen Maßnahmen der Jahre 2008 und 2009. Forschungsvorhaben im Auftrag des Bundesministeriums der Finanzen," IWH Online 4/2015, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).

    Cited by:

    1. Peter Hennecke & Doris Neuberger & Dirk Ulbricht, 2019. "The economic and fiscal benefits of guarantee banks in Germany," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 53(3), pages 771-794, October.

  4. Drechsel, Katja & Giesen, Sebastian & Lindner, Axel, 2014. "Outperforming IMF Forecasts by the Use of Leading Indicators," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100393, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.

    Cited by:

    1. Laurent Ferrara & Clément Marsilli, 2019. "Nowcasting global economic growth: A factor-augmented mixed-frequency approach," Post-Print hal-01636761, HAL.
    2. Camacho, Maximo & Martinez-Martin, Jaime, 2015. "Monitoring the world business cycle," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 617-625.

  5. Katja Drechsel & Rolf Scheufele, 2012. "Bottom-up or Direct? Forecasting German GDP in a Data-rich Environment," Working Papers 2012-16, Swiss National Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Claudio, João C. & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver, 2019. "Nowcasting East German GDP growth: A MIDAS approach," IWH Discussion Papers 24/2019, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    2. Teresa Buchen & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2013. "Assessing the Macroeconomic Forecasting Performance of Boosting - Evidence for the United States, the Euro Area, and Germany," CESifo Working Paper Series 4148, CESifo.
    3. Stéphane Dées & Jochen Güntner, 2014. "Analysing and forecasting price dynamics across euro area countries and sectors: A panel VAR approach," Economics working papers 2014-10, Department of Economics, Johannes Kepler University Linz, Austria.
    4. Nicoletta Pashourtidou & Christos Papamichael & Charalampos Karagiannakis, 2018. "Forecasting economic activity in sectors of the Cypriot economy," Cyprus Economic Policy Review, University of Cyprus, Economics Research Centre, vol. 12(2), pages 24-66, December.
    5. Alain Galli & Christian Hepenstrick & Rolf Scheufele, 2017. "Mixed-frequency models for tracking short-term economic developments in Switzerland," Working Papers 2017-02, Swiss National Bank.
    6. Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2012. "Forecasting GDP at the Regional Level with Many Predictors," CESifo Working Paper Series 3956, CESifo.
    7. Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2013. "Forecasting gross value-added at the regional level: Are sectoral disaggregated predictions superior to direct ones?," ifo Working Paper Series 171, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    8. Heinisch, Katja, 2016. "A real-time analysis on the importance of hard and soft data for nowcasting German GDP," VfS Annual Conference 2016 (Augsburg): Demographic Change 145864, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    9. Behrens, Christoph, 2020. "German trade forecasts since 1970: An evaluation using the panel dimension," Working Papers 26, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin.
    10. Sandra Hanslin & Rolf Scheufele, 2016. "Foreign PMIs: A reliable indicator for exports?," Working Papers 2016-01, Swiss National Bank.
    11. Robert Lehmann, 2015. "Survey-based indicators vs. hard data: What improves export forecasts in Europe?," ERSA conference papers ersa15p756, European Regional Science Association.
    12. Katja Heinisch & Rolf Scheufele, 2019. "Should Forecasters Use Real‐Time Data to Evaluate Leading Indicator Models for GDP Prediction? German Evidence," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 20(4), pages 170-200, November.
    13. Doll, Jens & Rosenthal, Beatrice & Volkenand, Jonas & Hamella, Sandra, 2017. "Nowcasting des deutschen BIP," Weidener Diskussionspapiere 59, University of Applied Sciences Amberg-Weiden (OTH).
    14. Bańbura, Marta & Giannone, Domenico & Modugno, Michele & Reichlin, Lucrezia, 2013. "Now-Casting and the Real-Time Data Flow," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.),Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 195-237, Elsevier.
    15. Mahmut Gunay, 2016. "Forecasting Turkish GDP Growth : Bottom-Up vs Direct?," CBT Research Notes in Economics 1622, Research and Monetary Policy Department, Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey.
    16. Glocker, Christian & Kaniovski, Serguei, 2020. "Structural modeling and forecasting using a cluster of dynamic factor models," MPRA Paper 101874, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2015. "Forecasting GDP at the Regional Level with Many Predictors," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 16(2), pages 226-254, May.
    18. Cobb, Marcus P A, 2018. "Improving Underlying Scenarios for Aggregate Forecasts: A Multi-level Combination Approach," MPRA Paper 88593, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    19. Christian Grimme & Robert Lehmann & Marvin Noeller, 2019. "Forecasting Imports with Information from Abroad," ifo Working Paper Series 294, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    20. Ulrich Gunter & Irem Önder & Stefan Gindl, 2019. "Exploring the predictive ability of LIKES of posts on the Facebook pages of four major city DMOs in Austria," Tourism Economics, , vol. 25(3), pages 375-401, May.
    21. Cobb, Marcus P A, 2017. "Joint Forecast Combination of Macroeconomic Aggregates and Their Components," MPRA Paper 76556, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    22. Teresa, Buchen & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2014. "Assessing the Macroeconomic Forecasting Performance of Boosting: Evidence for the United States, the Euro Area, and Germany," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100626, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    23. Schumacher, Christian, 2014. "MIDAS regressions with time-varying parameters: An application to corporate bond spreads and GDP in the Euro area," VfS Annual Conference 2014 (Hamburg): Evidence-based Economic Policy 100289, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    24. Cobb, Marcus P A, 2017. "Forecasting Economic Aggregates Using Dynamic Component Grouping," MPRA Paper 81585, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    25. Behrens, Christoph, 2019. "Evaluating the Joint Efficiency of German Trade Forecasts. A nonparametric multivariate approach," Working Papers 9, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin.
    26. Schumacher, Christian, 2016. "A comparison of MIDAS and bridge equations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 257-270.
    27. Robert Lehmann, 2019. "Forecasting Exports across Europe: What Are the Superior Survey Indicators?," CESifo Working Paper Series 7846, CESifo.
    28. Marcus Cobb, 2014. "GDP Forecasting Bias due to Aggregation Inaccuracy in a Chain- Linking Framework," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 721, Central Bank of Chile.
    29. Cobb, Marcus P A, 2017. "Aggregate Density Forecasting from Disaggregate Components Using Large VARs," MPRA Paper 76849, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    30. Hanslin Grossmann, Sandra & Scheufele, Rolf, 2015. "Foreign PMIs: A reliable indicator for Swiss exports," VfS Annual Conference 2015 (Muenster): Economic Development - Theory and Policy 112830, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    31. Weber, Enzo & Zika, Gerd, 2013. "Labour market forecasting : is disaggregation useful?," IAB Discussion Paper 201314, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    32. Saulius Jokubaitis & Dmitrij Celov & Remigijus Leipus, 2019. "Sparse structures with LASSO through Principal Components: forecasting GDP components in the short-run," Papers 1906.07992, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2020.

  6. Drechsel, Katja & Scheufele, Rolf, 2011. "The Financial Crisis from a Forecaster’s Perspective," IWH Discussion Papers 5/2011, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).

    Cited by:

    1. Katja Drechsel & Rolf Scheufele, 2012. "Bottom-up or Direct? Forecasting German GDP in a Data-rich Environment," Working Papers 2012-16, Swiss National Bank.
    2. Katja Heinisch & Rolf Scheufele, 2019. "Should Forecasters Use Real‐Time Data to Evaluate Leading Indicator Models for GDP Prediction? German Evidence," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 20(4), pages 170-200, November.
    3. Drechsel, Katja & Giesen, Sebastian & Lindner, Axel, 2014. "Outperforming IMF Forecasts by the Use of Leading Indicators," IWH Discussion Papers 4/2014, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    4. Ulrich Heilemann & Susanne Schnorr-Bäcker, 2016. "Could The Start Of The German Recession 2008-2009 Have Been Foreseen? Evidence From Real-Time Data," Working Papers 2016-003, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
    5. Jörg Döpke & Ulrich Fritsche & Karsten Müller, 2018. "Has Macroeconomic Forecasting changed after the Great Recession? - Panel-based Evidence on Accuracy and Forecaster Behaviour from Germany," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 201803, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
    6. Robert Lehmann, 2020. "The Forecasting Power of the ifo Business Survey," CESifo Working Paper Series 8291, CESifo.
    7. Kitlinski, Tobias, 2015. "With or without you: Do financial data help to forecast industrial production?," Ruhr Economic Papers 558, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    8. Kitlinski, Tobias & an de Meulen, Philipp, 2015. "The role of targeted predictors for nowcasting GDP with bridge models: Application to the Euro area," Ruhr Economic Papers 559, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    9. Christian Seiler & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2013. "Das ifo Geschäftsklima und die deutsche Konjunktur," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(18), pages 17-21, October.

  7. Drechsel, Katja & Scheufele, Rolf, 2010. "Should We Trust in Leading Indicators? Evidence from the Recent Recession," IWH Discussion Papers 10/2010, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).

    Cited by:

    1. Agne Reklaite, 2015. "Globalisation Effect Measure Via Hierarchical Dynamic Factor Modelling," Equilibrium. Quarterly Journal of Economics and Economic Policy, Institute of Economic Research, vol. 10(3), pages 139-149, September.
    2. Anna Sophia Ciesielski & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2011. "Sektorale Prognosen im Verarbeitenden Gewerbe," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 64(22), pages 27-35, November.
    3. Juraj Hucek & Alexander Karsay & Marian Vavra, 2015. "Short-term Forecasting of Real GDP Using Monthly Data," Working and Discussion Papers OP 1/2015, Research Department, National Bank of Slovakia.
    4. Christian Seiler, 2012. "On the Robustness of the Balance Statistics with respect to Nonresponse," ifo Working Paper Series 126, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    5. Drechsel, Katja & Scheufele, Rolf, 2011. "The Financial Crisis from a Forecaster’s Perspective," IWH Discussion Papers 5/2011, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    6. Christian Seiler, 2013. "Nonresponse in Business Tendency Surveys: Theoretical Discourse and Empirical Evidence," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 52.
    7. Christian Seiler & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2013. "Das ifo Geschäftsklima und die deutsche Konjunktur," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(18), pages 17-21, October.
    8. Katja Rietzler & Sabine Stephan, 2012. "Monthly recession predictions in real time: A density forecast approach for German industrial production," IMK Working Paper 94-2012, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.

  8. Maurin, Laurent & Drechsel, Katja, 2008. "Flow of conjunctural information and forecast of euro area economic activity," Working Paper Series 925, European Central Bank.

    Cited by:

    1. Drechsel, Katja & Scheufele, Rolf, 2010. "Should We Trust in Leading Indicators? Evidence from the Recent Recession," IWH Discussion Papers 10/2010, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    2. Robert Lehmann, 2016. "Wirtschaftswachstum und Konjunkturprognosen auf regionaler Ebene," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 65.
    3. Katja Drechsel & Rolf Scheufele, 2012. "Bottom-up or Direct? Forecasting German GDP in a Data-rich Environment," Working Papers 2012-16, Swiss National Bank.
    4. Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2012. "Forecasting GDP at the Regional Level with Many Predictors," CESifo Working Paper Series 3956, CESifo.
    5. Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2013. "Forecasting gross value-added at the regional level: Are sectoral disaggregated predictions superior to direct ones?," ifo Working Paper Series 171, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    6. Laura D’Amato & Lorena Garegnani & Emilio Blanco, 2011. "Using the Flow of High Frequency Information for Short Term Forecasting of Economic Activity in Argentina," Ensayos Económicos, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, vol. 1(64), pages 7-33, October -.
    7. Drechsel, Katja & Giesen, Sebastian & Lindner, Axel, 2014. "Outperforming IMF Forecasts by the Use of Leading Indicators," IWH Discussion Papers 4/2014, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    8. Schwarzmüller, Tim, 2015. "Model pooling and changes in the informational content of predictors: An empirical investigation for the euro area," Kiel Working Papers 1982, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
    9. A. Girardi & R. Golinelli & C. Pappalardo, 2014. "The Role of Indicator Selection in Nowcasting Euro Area GDP in Pseudo Real Time," Working Papers wp919, Dipartimento Scienze Economiche, Universita' di Bologna.
    10. Drechsel, Katja & Scheufele, Rolf, 2012. "The performance of short-term forecasts of the German economy before and during the 2008/2009 recession," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 428-445.
    11. Drechsel, Katja & Scheufele, Rolf, 2011. "The Financial Crisis from a Forecaster’s Perspective," IWH Discussion Papers 5/2011, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    12. Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2015. "Forecasting GDP at the Regional Level with Many Predictors," German Economic Review, Verein für Socialpolitik, vol. 16(2), pages 226-254, May.
    13. Marie Bessec, 2010. "Etalonnages du taux de croissance du PIB français sur la base des enquêtes de conjoncture," Economie & Prévision, La Documentation Française, vol. 0(2), pages 77-99.
    14. Christian Grimme & Robert Lehmann & Marvin Noeller, 2019. "Forecasting Imports with Information from Abroad," ifo Working Paper Series 294, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    15. Kitlinski, Tobias, 2015. "With or without you: Do financial data help to forecast industrial production?," Ruhr Economic Papers 558, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    16. Kitlinski, Tobias & an de Meulen, Philipp, 2015. "The role of targeted predictors for nowcasting GDP with bridge models: Application to the Euro area," Ruhr Economic Papers 559, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    17. Laura D'Amato & Lorena Garegnani & Emilio Blanco, 2016. "GDP Nowcasting: Assessing the Cyclical Conditions of the Argentine Economy," Ensayos Económicos, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department, vol. 1(74), pages 7-26, December.
    18. Laura D´Amato & Lorena Garegnani & Emilio Blanco, 2015. "GDP Nowcasting: Assessing business cycle conditions in Argentina," BCRA Working Paper Series 201569, Central Bank of Argentina, Economic Research Department.
    19. an de Meulen, Philipp, 2015. "Das RWI-Kurzfristprognosemodell," RWI Konjunkturberichte, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, vol. 66(2), pages 25-46.
    20. Mohr, Matthias & Maurin, Laurent & Guérin, Pierre, 2011. "Trend-cycle decomposition of output and euro area inflation forecasts: a real-time approach based on model combination," Working Paper Series 1384, European Central Bank.

Articles

  1. Katja Heinisch & Rolf Scheufele, 2018. "Bottom-up or direct? Forecasting German GDP in a data-rich environment," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 54(2), pages 705-745, March.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  2. Katja Heinisch & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2017. "The European refugee crisis and the natural rate of output," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(16), pages 1138-1142, September.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  3. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver & Kämpfe, Martina & Knedlik, Tobias & Lindner, Axel & Loose, Brigitte & Scherer, Jan-Christopher & Schultz, Birgit & Zeddies, Götz & Dove, 2013. "Konjunktur aktuell: Deutsche Wirtschaft im Aufschwung," Konjunktur aktuell, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 1(4), pages 144-177.

    Cited by:

    1. Holtemöller, Oliver & Lindner, Axel & Drygalla, Andrej, 2013. "Internationale Konjunkturprognose und konjunkturelle Stressszenarien für die Jahre 2013 bis 2015," IWH Online 6/2013, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).

  4. Brautzsch, Hans-Ulrich & Drechsel, Katja & Schultz, Birgit, 2012. "Unbezahlte Überstunden in Deutschland," Wirtschaft im Wandel, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH), vol. 18(10), pages 308-315.

    Cited by:

    1. Wanger, Susanne & Weigand, Roland & Zapf, Ines, 2015. "Measuring hours worked in Germany : contents, data and methodological essentials of the IAB working time measurement concept," IAB Discussion Paper 201521, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    2. Alexander Herzog-Stein & Gustav A. Horn & Ulrike Stein, 2013. "Macroeconomic Implications of the German Short-time Work Policy during the Great Recession," Global Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 4, pages 30-40, July.
    3. Ulrike Famira-Mühlberger & Stefan Fuchs, 2013. "Unbezahlte Überstunden in Österreich," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 46936, October.
    4. Zapf, Ines, 2015. "Individual and workplace-specific determinants of paid and unpaid overtime work in Germany," IAB Discussion Paper 201515, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    5. Zapf, Ines & Weber, Enzo, 2017. "The role of employer, job and employee characteristics for flexible working time : An empirical analysis of overtime work and flexible working hours' arrangements," IAB Discussion Paper 201704, Institut für Arbeitsmarkt- und Berufsforschung (IAB), Nürnberg [Institute for Employment Research, Nuremberg, Germany].
    6. Ines Zapf, 2015. "Individual and Workplace-Specific Determinants of Paid and Unpaid Overtime Work in Germany," SOEPpapers on Multidisciplinary Panel Data Research 771, DIW Berlin, The German Socio-Economic Panel (SOEP).

  5. Drechsel, Katja & Scheufele, Rolf, 2012. "The performance of short-term forecasts of the German economy before and during the 2008/2009 recession," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 428-445.

    Cited by:

    1. Carstensen, Kai & Heinrich, Markus & Reif, Magnus & Wolters, Maik H., 2020. "Predicting ordinary and severe recessions with a three-state Markov-switching dynamic factor model," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 36(3), pages 829-850.
    2. Claudio, João C. & Heinisch, Katja & Holtemöller, Oliver, 2019. "Nowcasting East German GDP growth: A MIDAS approach," IWH Discussion Papers 24/2019, Halle Institute for Economic Research (IWH).
    3. Robert Lehmann, 2016. "Wirtschaftswachstum und Konjunkturprognosen auf regionaler Ebene," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 65.
    4. Christian Seiler, 2014. "The determinants of unit non-response in the Ifo Business Survey," AStA Wirtschafts- und Sozialstatistisches Archiv, Springer;Deutsche Statistische Gesellschaft - German Statistical Society, vol. 8(3), pages 161-177, September.
    5. Steffen Henzel & Sebastian Rast, 2013. "Prognoseeigenschaften von Indikatoren zur Vorhersage des Bruttoinlandsprodukts in Deutschland," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(17), pages 39-46, September.
    6. Johanna Garnitz & Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2019. "Forecasting GDP all over the world using leading indicators based on comprehensive survey data," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 51(54), pages 5802-5816, November.
    7. Inske Pirschel & Maik H. Wolters, 2018. "Forecasting with large datasets: compressing information before, during or after the estimation?," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 55(2), pages 573-596, September.
    8. Katja Drechsel & Rolf Scheufele, 2012. "Bottom-up or Direct? Forecasting German GDP in a Data-rich Environment," Working Papers 2012-16, Swiss National Bank.
    9. Foltas, Alexander, 2020. "Testing investment forecast efficiency with textual data," Working Papers 19, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin.
    10. Robert Lehmann & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2013. "Forecasting gross value-added at the regional level: Are sectoral disaggregated predictions superior to direct ones?," ifo Working Paper Series 171, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    11. Jörg Döpke & Ulrich Fritsche & Christian Pierdzioch, 2015. "Predicting Recessions With Boosted Regression Trees," Working Papers 2015-004, The George Washington University, Department of Economics, H. O. Stekler Research Program on Forecasting.
    12. Behrens, Christoph, 2020. "German trade forecasts since 1970: An evaluation using the panel dimension," Working Papers 26, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin.
    13. Anna Sophia Ciesielski & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2011. "Sektorale Prognosen im Verarbeitenden Gewerbe," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 64(22), pages 27-35, November.
    14. Schwarzmüller, Tim, 2015. "Model pooling and changes in the informational content of predictors: An empirical investigation for the euro area," Kiel Working Papers 1982, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW).
    15. David Iselin & Boriss Siliverstovs, 2016. "Using newspapers for tracking the business cycle: a comparative study for Germany and Switzerland," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(12), pages 1103-1118, March.
    16. Christian Seiler, 2012. "On the Robustness of the Balance Statistics with respect to Nonresponse," ifo Working Paper Series 126, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    17. Christian Seiler, 2014. "Mode Preferences in Business Surveys: Evidence from Germany," ifo Working Paper Series 193, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich.
    18. Jens Boysen-Hogrefe, 2012. "A note on predicting recessions in the euro area using real M1," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 32(2), pages 1291-1301.
    19. Kitlinski, Tobias, 2015. "With or without you: Do financial data help to forecast industrial production?," Ruhr Economic Papers 558, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    20. Boriss Siliverstovs, 2013. "Do business tendency surveys help in forecasting employment?: A real-time evidence for Switzerland," OECD Journal: Journal of Business Cycle Measurement and Analysis, OECD Publishing, Centre for International Research on Economic Tendency Surveys, vol. 2013(2), pages 129-151.
    21. Kitlinski, Tobias & an de Meulen, Philipp, 2015. "The role of targeted predictors for nowcasting GDP with bridge models: Application to the Euro area," Ruhr Economic Papers 559, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    22. Christian Seiler & Klaus Wohlrabe, 2013. "Das ifo Geschäftsklima und die deutsche Konjunktur," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 66(18), pages 17-21, October.
    23. Heiner Mikosch & Laura Solanko, 2019. "Forecasting Quarterly Russian GDP Growth with Mixed-Frequency Data," Russian Journal of Money and Finance, Bank of Russia, vol. 78(1), pages 19-35, March.
    24. David Iselin & Boriss Siliverstovs, 2013. "Using Newspapers for Tracking the Business Cycle," KOF Working papers 13-337, KOF Swiss Economic Institute, ETH Zurich.
    25. Junttila, Juha & Vataja, Juuso, 2018. "Economic policy uncertainty effects for forecasting future real economic activity," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 42(4), pages 569-583.
    26. Behrens, Christoph & Pierdzioch, Christian & Risse, Marian, 2018. "Testing the optimality of inflation forecasts under flexible loss with random forests," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 270-277.
    27. Schlösser, Alexander, 2020. "Forecasting industrial production in Germany: The predictive power of leading indicators," Ruhr Economic Papers 838, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    28. Garnitz, Johanna & Lehmann, Robert & Wohlrabe, Klaus, 2017. "Forecasting GDP all over the World: Evidence from Comprehensive Survey Data," MPRA Paper 81772, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    29. Jörg Döpke & Ulrich Fritsche & Christian Pierdzioch, 2015. "Predicting Recessions in Germany With Boosted Regression Trees," Macroeconomics and Finance Series 201505, University of Hamburg, Department of Socioeconomics.
    30. Katja Rietzler & Sabine Stephan, 2012. "Monthly recession predictions in real time: A density forecast approach for German industrial production," IMK Working Paper 94-2012, IMK at the Hans Boeckler Foundation, Macroeconomic Policy Institute.
    31. Behrens, Christoph, 2019. "Evaluating the Joint Efficiency of German Trade Forecasts. A nonparametric multivariate approach," Working Papers 9, German Research Foundation's Priority Programme 1859 "Experience and Expectation. Historical Foundations of Economic Behaviour", Humboldt University Berlin.
    32. Magnus Reif, 2020. "Macroeconomics, Nonlinearities, and the Business Cycle," ifo Beiträge zur Wirtschaftsforschung, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 87.
    33. Schumacher, Christian, 2016. "A comparison of MIDAS and bridge equations," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 257-270.
    34. Mikosch, Heiner & Solanko, Laura, 2017. "Should one follow movements in the oil price or in money supply? Forecasting quarterly GDP growth in Russia with higher-frequency indicators," BOFIT Discussion Papers 19/2017, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition.
    35. Christoph Behrens, 2019. "A Nonparametric Evaluation of the Optimality of German Export and Import Growth Forecasts under Flexible Loss," Economies, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 7(3), pages 1-23, September.
    36. Wolfgang Nierhaus & Timo Wollmershäuser, 2016. "ifo Konjunkturumfragen und Konjunkturanalyse: Band II," ifo Forschungsberichte, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, number 72.

  6. Katja Drechsel & Rolf Scheufele, 2012. "The Financial Crisis from a Forecaster’s Perspective," Credit and Capital Markets, Credit and Capital Markets, vol. 45(1), pages 1-26.
    See citations under working paper version above.
  7. Katja Drechsel & Laurent Maurin, 2011. "Flow of conjunctural information and forecast of euro area economic activity," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 30(3), pages 336-354, April.
    See citations under working paper version above.

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NEP is an announcement service for new working papers, with a weekly report in each of many fields. This author has had 7 papers announced in NEP. These are the fields, ordered by number of announcements, along with their dates. If the author is listed in the directory of specialists for this field, a link is also provided.
  1. NEP-EEC: European Economics (3) 2016-11-13 2016-11-27 2017-03-19
  2. NEP-FOR: Forecasting (3) 2013-01-12 2015-02-16 2017-02-19
  3. NEP-MAC: Macroeconomics (3) 2015-02-16 2017-02-19 2017-03-19
  4. NEP-MIG: Economics of Human Migration (2) 2016-11-13 2016-11-27
  5. NEP-GER: German Papers (1) 2016-07-23

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