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Eine Analyse der Konjunkturzyklen für die deutschen Bundesländer

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  • Robert Lehmann
  • Ida Wikman

Abstract

Eine detaillierte Analyse bundeslandspezifischer Konjunkturzyklen war bislang aufgrund fehlender Daten nur eingeschränkt bzw. unzureichend möglich. In diesem Beitrag nutzen wir eine neue Datenbasis zum vierteljährlichen Wirtschaftswachstum der 16 Bundesländer und widmen uns der Datierung regionaler Konjunkturzyklen in Deutschland. Drei zentrale Erkenntnisse lassen sich formulieren. Erstens dauern Auf und Abschwünge in den einzelnen Bundesländern unterschiedlich lang. Zweitens fällt die Höhe bzw. Tiefe der wirtschaftlichen Aktivität sehr heterogen aus. Drittens überlappen sich die bundeslandspezifischen Zyklen in unterschiedlicher Stärke mit der gesamtdeutschen Entwicklung. Die neuen Daten und Erkenntnisse könnten daher für eine detaillierte Untersuchung der Schuldenbremsen verwendet werden.

Suggested Citation

  • Robert Lehmann & Ida Wikman, 2023. "Eine Analyse der Konjunkturzyklen für die deutschen Bundesländer," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 30(02), pages 15-21, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ifodre:v:30:y:2023:i:02:p:15-21
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Robert Lehmann, 2024. "Prognosen des Wirtschaftswachstums der deutschen Bundesländer unter Echtzeitbedingungen," ifo Dresden berichtet, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 31(04), pages 03-07, August.
    2. Zareh Asatryan & Désirée I. Christofzik & Justus Nover, 2026. "Doubling Down Political Budget Cycles: The Role of State‐Owned Enterprises," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(1), pages 306-326, March.

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