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Share price formation, market exuberance and financial stability under alternative accounting regimes

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  • Yuri Biondi
  • Pierpaolo Giannoccolo

Abstract

This paper develops a theoretical analysis of share market price formation driven by accounting and market structures. Heterogeneous investors are assumed to discover and process fundamental information disclosed by accounting system of share-issuing entity. Information set available to share market investors for decision-making comprises then market-driven and firm-specific (non-market) information. On the one side, accounting system provides collective signal of fundamental information; on the other side, price system provides collective signal of market-driven information over time. Both jointly drive the formation of aggregate share market prices through limited knowledge, hazard, and social interaction. Numerical simulations are provided under alternative accounting designs (namely, historical cost and fair value accounting regimes), to derive implications and recommendations for the concept and occurrence of speculative bubbles and herd behavior; the cyclical effects of accounting regime on share market dynamics; and the “value relevance” of accounting information and its role in the formation of share market prices over time. This numerical statistical analysis contributes to shed light on accounting anomalies and fundamental analysis. Copyright Springer-Verlag Berlin Heidelberg 2015

Suggested Citation

  • Yuri Biondi & Pierpaolo Giannoccolo, 2015. "Share price formation, market exuberance and financial stability under alternative accounting regimes," Journal of Economic Interaction and Coordination, Springer;Society for Economic Science with Heterogeneous Interacting Agents, vol. 10(2), pages 333-362, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:jeicoo:v:10:y:2015:i:2:p:333-362
    DOI: 10.1007/s11403-014-0131-7
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Accounting information; Asset pricing model; Fundamentalism; Chartism; Large fluctuations; Financial bubbles; Market exuberance; Market microstructure; Historical cost accounting; Fair value accounting; Mark-to-market; Accrual anomalies; C63; D4; E17; E37; G17; M41; M48; G1;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C63 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computational Techniques
    • D4 - Microeconomics - - Market Structure, Pricing, and Design
    • E17 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - General Aggregative Models - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation
    • M41 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Accounting
    • M48 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Accounting - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets

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