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Estimates of the Price Elasticities of Natural Gas Supply and Demand in the United States

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  • Arora, Vipin

Abstract

I estimate short and long-run price elasticities of U.S. natural gas supply and demand. For robustness, the estimates are based on data of varying frequencies and samples, some of which include the recent U.S. shale gas boom. Aside from the numbers themselves, there are two main conclusions. As expected, U.S. price elasticities of natural gas supply are higher in both the short and long-run when the e�ffects of shale are included in the sample (post-2007). The calculated price elasticities of natural gas demand are also more responsive than recent estimates, but in-line with earlier ones.

Suggested Citation

  • Arora, Vipin, 2014. "Estimates of the Price Elasticities of Natural Gas Supply and Demand in the United States," MPRA Paper 54232, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  • Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:54232
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    File URL: https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/54232/1/MPRA_paper_54232.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    2. Bernstein, Ronald & Madlener, Reinhard, 2011. "Residential Natural Gas Demand Elasticities in OECD Countries: An ARDL Bounds Testing Approach," FCN Working Papers 15/2011, E.ON Energy Research Center, Future Energy Consumer Needs and Behavior (FCN).
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    5. Berkhout, Peter H. G. & Ferrer-i-Carbonell, Ada & Muskens, Jos C., 2004. "The ex post impact of an energy tax on household energy demand," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 26(3), pages 297-317, May.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Arora, Vipin & Cai, Yiyong, 2014. "U.S. natural gas exports and their global impacts," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 120(C), pages 95-103.
    2. Wiggins, Seth & Etienne, Xiaoli, 2015. "US Natural Gas Price Determination: Fundamentals and the Development of Shale," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 205788, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    3. repec:aen:journl:ej38-5-peters is not listed on IDEAS
    4. Charles F. Mason & Lucija A. Muehlenbachs & Sheila M. Olmstead, 2015. "The Economics of Shale Gas Development," Annual Review of Resource Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 7(1), pages 269-289, October.
    5. Scheitrum, Daniel P. & Parker, Nathan C., 2016. "Renewable Natural Gas as a Solution to Climate Goals: Supply Estimates and Response to California’s Low Carbon Fuel Standard," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235883, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    6. Scheitrum, Daniel, 2017. "Renewable Natural Gas as a Solution to Climate Goals: Response to California's Low Carbon Fuel Standard," MPRA Paper 77193, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    7. Catherine Hausman & Ryan Kellogg, 2015. "Welfare and Distributional Implications of Shale Gas," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 46(1 (Spring), pages 71-139.
    8. repec:eee:eneeco:v:64:y:2017:i:c:p:196-205 is not listed on IDEAS
    9. Cole, Wesley J. & Medlock, Kenneth B. & Jani, Aditya, 2016. "A view to the future of natural gas and electricity: An integrated modeling approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 486-496.
    10. Sexton, Steven & Eyer, Jonathan, 2016. "Leveling the playing field of transportation fuels: Accounting for indirect emissions of natural gas," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 95(C), pages 21-31.
    11. Arora, Vipin, 2018. "Natural Gas and the US Economy: Some Preliminary Rules of Thumb," MPRA Paper 87279, University Library of Munich, Germany.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Natural gas; sign restriction; shale; elasticity; long-run; short-run;

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E37 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices

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