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Tracing Productivity Growth Channels in the UK

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  • Mr. Daniel Garcia-Macia
  • Julia Korosteleva

Abstract

What drove the UK productivity slowdown post-GFC, and how is the post-Covid recovery expected to differ? This paper traces the sources of TFP growth in the UK over the last two decades through the lens of a structural model of innovation, using registry data on the universe of firms. The dominant innovation source in the pre-GFC decade were improvements by incumbent firms on their own products, whereas creation of new varieties by entrants took a leading role post-GFC. In the Covid recovery, survey data suggests that creative destruction (i.e., innovation replacing other firms’ products) is expected to gain importance. This emphasizes the need for growth policies that facilitate labor and capital reallocation across firms, in addition to R&D support.

Suggested Citation

  • Mr. Daniel Garcia-Macia & Julia Korosteleva, 2021. "Tracing Productivity Growth Channels in the UK," IMF Working Papers 2021/273, International Monetary Fund.
    • Handle: RePEc:imf:imfwpa:2021/273
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    economic growth; innovation; creative destruction; UK productivity slowdown post-GFC; UK market economy; GFC decade; innovation source; leading role; sources of TFP growth; exit rate; Employment; Total factor productivity; Job creation; Productivity; Job destruction; Global;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • O30 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - General
    • O40 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity - - - General
    • O52 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Europe

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