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The central bank’s balance sheet and treasury market disruptions

Author

Listed:
  • d'Avernas, Adrien
  • Vandeweyer, Quentin
  • Petersen, Damon

Abstract

This paper studies how Treasury market dynamics depend on adjustments to the central bank balance sheet. We introduce a dynamic model of Treasury bonds with traditional and shadow banks. In the model, both Treasury and repo market disruptions arise as a joint consequence of three frictions: (i) balance sheet costs,(ii) intraday reserves requirements, and (iii) imperfect substitutability between repo and bank deposits. Our model highlights the critical role of both sides of the central bank’s balance sheet as well as agents’ anticipation of shocks and policy interventions in matching observed market dynamics. JEL Classification: E43, E44, E52, G12

Suggested Citation

  • d'Avernas, Adrien & Vandeweyer, Quentin & Petersen, Damon, 2025. "The central bank’s balance sheet and treasury market disruptions," Working Paper Series 3066, European Central Bank.
    • Handle: RePEc:ecb:ecbwps:20253066
    Note: 3107481
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    basis trade; hedge funds; liquidity risk; repo; reserves; shadow banks;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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