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Deviations from Covered Interest Rate Parity

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  • Wenxin Du
  • Alexander Tepper
  • Adrien Verdelhan

Abstract

We find that deviations from the covered interest rate parity condition (CIP) imply large, persistent, and systematic arbitrage opportunities in one of the largest asset markets in the world. Contrary to the common view, these deviations for major currencies are not explained away by credit risk or transaction costs. They are particularly strong for forward contracts that appear on the banks' balance sheets at the end of the quarter, pointing to a causal effect of banking regulation on asset prices. The CIP deviations also appear significantly correlated with other fixed-income spreads and with nominal interest rates.

Suggested Citation

  • Wenxin Du & Alexander Tepper & Adrien Verdelhan, 2017. "Deviations from Covered Interest Rate Parity," NBER Working Papers 23170, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  • Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:23170
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    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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