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Dealer capacity and US Treasury market functionality

Author

Listed:
  • Darrell Duffie
  • Michael Fleming
  • Frank Keane
  • Claire Nelson
  • Or Shachar
  • Peter Van Tassel

Abstract

We show a significant loss in US Treasury market functionality when intensive use of dealer balance sheets is needed to intermediate bond markets, as in March 2020. Although yield volatility explains most of the variation in Treasury market liquidity over time, when dealer balance sheet utilization reaches sufficiently high levels, liquidity is much worse than predicted by yield volatility alone. This is consistent with the existence of occasionally binding constraints on the intermediation capacity of bond markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Darrell Duffie & Michael Fleming & Frank Keane & Claire Nelson & Or Shachar & Peter Van Tassel, 2023. "Dealer capacity and US Treasury market functionality," BIS Working Papers 1138, Bank for International Settlements.
    • Handle: RePEc:bis:biswps:1138
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Scheicher, Martin, 2023. "Intermediation in US and EU bond and swap markets: stylised facts, trends and impact of the coronavirus (COVID-19) crisis in March 2020," ESRB Occasional Paper Series 24, European Systemic Risk Board.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Treasury market; liquidity; volatility; dealer intermediation; value-at-risk;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G1 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G18 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Government Policy and Regulation
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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