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Do political commentaries command? The case of the Central Bank of Brazil

Author

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  • Gokhan Sahin Gunes
  • Dila Asfuroglu

Abstract

This paper investigates whether political pressure affects the conduct ofmonetary policy in Brazil. For the period between January 2010 and August 2020, weestimate a modified Taylor rule to empirically test whether the calls for lower interest ratesby presidents induce Central Bank of Brazil (BCB) to lower the policy rate. We documentthat BCB is more likely to set the policy rate in line with the preferences of political leaders.We also show that the response of BCB to political pressure remained significant even thoughpolitical pressure diminished in recent years. JEL Classification: E42; E43; E52; E58.

Suggested Citation

  • Gokhan Sahin Gunes & Dila Asfuroglu, 2023. "Do political commentaries command? The case of the Central Bank of Brazil," Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Center of Political Economy, vol. 43(3), pages 686-705.
  • Handle: RePEc:ekm:repojs:v:43:y:2023:i:3:p:686-705:id:2424
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Central bank independence; political pressure; Taylor rule; emerging economy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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