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A Bayesian interpretation of the Federal Reserve's dual mandate and the Taylor Rule

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  • Putnam, Bluford H.
  • Azzarello, Samantha

Abstract

When the Federal Reserve was established by the US Congress in 1913, its charter mandated that the new central bank “promote an elastic currency” and the institution was given extraordinary powers to serve as a lender of last resort to the banking system. Congress was reacting to the cycle of financial panics that had beset the country since the Civil War and had worsened with the Panic of 1907. Congress sought to find a remedy to prevent runs on banks turning into full-fledged financial crises. The term “elastic” in the opening words of the charter was intended to underscore the need for a robust banking system that could withstand shocks and not collapse upon itself. There was no mention whatsoever of a dual mandate of promoting price stability and encouraging full employment.

Suggested Citation

  • Putnam, Bluford H. & Azzarello, Samantha, 2012. "A Bayesian interpretation of the Federal Reserve's dual mandate and the Taylor Rule," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 111-119.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:revfin:v:21:y:2012:i:3:p:111-119
    DOI: 10.1016/j.rfe.2012.06.005
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. John B. Taylor, 1994. "The inflation/output variability trade-off revisited," Conference Series ; [Proceedings], Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, vol. 38, pages 21-24.
    2. John B. Taylor, 1997. "Policy Rules as a Means to a More Effective Monetary Policy," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Iwao Kuroda (ed.), Towards More Effective Monetary Policy, chapter 2, pages 28-39, Palgrave Macmillan.
    3. Taylor, John B, 1993. "The Use of the New Macroeconometrics for Policy Formulation," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 83(2), pages 300-305, May.
    4. Michael Woodford, 2001. "The Taylor Rule and Optimal Monetary Policy," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 91(2), pages 232-237, May.
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    6. Orphanides, Athanasios, 2003. "Historical monetary policy analysis and the Taylor rule," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(5), pages 983-1022, July.
    7. Taylor, John B., 1993. "Discretion versus policy rules in practice," Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 195-214, December.
    8. Stephen M. Quintana & Scott E. Maxwell, 1994. "A Monte Carlo Comparison of Seven ε-Adjustment Procedures in Repeated Measures Designs With Small Sample Sizes," Journal of Educational and Behavioral Statistics, , vol. 19(1), pages 57-71, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Bluford H. Putnam & Samantha Azzarello, 2015. "Evolving dynamics of the relationship between US core inflation and unemployment," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 25(1), pages 27-34, April.
    2. Arayssi, Mahmoud, 2015. "Transparent rules for deposing central bankers," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 1-17.
    3. Bluford H. Putnam, 2013. "Essential concepts necessary to consider when evaluating the efficacy of quantitative easing," Review of Financial Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 22(1), pages 1-7, January.
    4. Aymeric Ortmans, 2020. "Evolving Monetary Policy in the Aftermath of the Great Recession," Documents de recherche 20-01, Centre d'Études des Politiques Économiques (EPEE), Université d'Evry Val d'Essonne.
    5. Putnam, Bluford H. & Azzarello, Samantha, 2015. "Evolving dynamics of the relationship between US core inflation and unemployment," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 27-34.
    6. Putnam, Bluford H., 2013. "Essential concepts necessary to consider when evaluating the efficacy of quantitative easing," Review of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 1-7.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Dual mandate; Federal Reserve; Bayesian inference; Inflation; Employment;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E40 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - General
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination

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