IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/sek/iefpro/14316324.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

The Impact of Economic Shocks on Financially Vulnerable Slovak Households: A Socio-Economic and Demographic Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Erik Gogola

    (University of Economics in Bratislava)

Abstract

This study identifies financially vulnerable indebted Slovak households most at risk of defaulting on loan payments due to socio-economic and demographic factors. The recent economic shifts, including a surge in Slovakia's inflation rate peaking at 15.4% in February 2023, have exacerbated financial strain. Analysis of HFCS microdata shows increased household indebtedness, particularly mortgage debt, from 2011 to 2021. Households with negative financial margins, limited liquid assets, younger (16-34) and older (65+) age groups, single-person households, and those in the lowest income and wealth quintiles are most vulnerable. Logistic regression reveals that gross income is the most significant determinant of default probability, with higher income households being less likely to default. The study highlights the need for targeted policy measures to support these vulnerable groups and mitigate default risks.

Suggested Citation

  • Erik Gogola, 0000. "The Impact of Economic Shocks on Financially Vulnerable Slovak Households: A Socio-Economic and Demographic Analysis," Proceedings of Economics and Finance Conferences 14316324, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
    • Handle: RePEc:sek:iefpro:14316324
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://iises.net/proceedings/international-conference-on-economics-finance-and-business-vienna-2024/table-of-content/detail?cid=143&iid=002&rid=16324
    File Function: First version, 0000
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kirsten Abela & Ilias Georgakopoulus, 2022. "A stress testing framework for the Maltese household sector," CBM Working Papers WP/04/2022, Central Bank of Malta.
    2. Valentina Michelangeli & Mario Pietrunti, 2014. "A Microsimulation Model to evaluate Italian Households Financial Vulnerability," International Journal of Microsimulation, International Microsimulation Association, vol. 7(3), pages 53-79.
    3. Nicolas Albacete & Peter Lindner, 2013. "Household Vulnerability in Austria – A Microeconomic Analysis Based on the Household Finance and Consumption Survey," Financial Stability Report, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 25, pages 57-73.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Erik Gogola, 0000. "Financial Vulnerability of Slovak Households: Evidence from household balance sheet stress tests using HFCS microdata," Proceedings of Economics and Finance Conferences 14316305, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.
    2. Giordana, Gastón & Ziegelmeyer, Michael, 2020. "Stress testing household balance sheets in Luxembourg," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 115-138.
    3. Alessandra Bettocchi & Elena Giarda & Cristiana Moriconi & Federica Orsini & Rita Romeo, 2018. "Assessing and predicting financial vulnerability of Italian households: a micro-macro approach," Empirica, Springer;Austrian Institute for Economic Research;Austrian Economic Association, vol. 45(3), pages 587-605, August.
    4. Hosung Jung & Hyun Hak Kim, 2020. "Default Probability by Employment Status in South Korea," Asian Economic Papers, MIT Press, vol. 19(3), pages 62-84, Fall.
    5. Nataliya Barasinska & Philipp Haenle & Anne Koban & Alexander Schmidt, 2023. "No Reason to Worry About German Mortgages? An Analysis of Macroeconomic and Individual Drivers of Credit Risk," Journal of Financial Services Research, Springer;Western Finance Association, vol. 64(3), pages 369-399, December.
    6. Ampudia, Miguel & van Vlokhoven, Has & Żochowski, Dawid, 2016. "Financial fragility of euro area households," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 250-262.
    7. Aleksandra Riedl, 2021. "Are CESEE borrowers at risk? COVID-19 implications in a stress test analysis," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue Q1/21, pages 37-53.
    8. Gross, Marco & Población, Javier, 2017. "Assessing the efficacy of borrower-based macroprudential policy using an integrated micro-macro model for European households," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 510-528.
    9. Catalin DUMITRESCU, 2020. "Financial Stability Of Economic Agencies In Conditions Of Economic Crisis," Internal Auditing and Risk Management, Athenaeum University of Bucharest, vol. 57(1), pages 22-33, March.
    10. Palligkinis, Spyros, 2025. "Bank lending rates and the riskiness of euro area household loans," Working Paper Series 3053, European Central Bank.
    11. Ján Klacso, 2024. "How Micro Data Improve the Estimation of Household Credit Risk Within the Macro Stress Testing Framework," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 64(2), pages 707-733, August.
    12. Kacper Grejcz & Zbigniew Żółkiewski, 2017. "Household wealth in Poland: the results of a new survey of household finance," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 48(3), pages 295-326.
    13. Marco FRIGERIO & Cristina OTTAVIANI & Daniela VANDONE, 2018. "A Meta-Analytic Investigation of Consumer Over-Indebtedness: the Role of Impulsivity," Departmental Working Papers 2018-08, Department of Economics, Management and Quantitative Methods at Università degli Studi di Milano.
    14. Du Caju, Philip & Rycx, François & Tojerow, Ilan, 2016. "Unemployment risk and over-indebtedness," Working Paper Series 1908, European Central Bank.
    15. Jaanika Meriküll & Tairi Rõõm, 2020. "Stress Tests of the Household Sector Using Microdata from Survey and Administrative Sources," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(2), pages 203-248, March.
    16. Liaqat Ali & Muhammad Kamran Naqi Khan & Habib Ahmad, 2020. "Financial Fragility of Pakistani Household," Journal of Family and Economic Issues, Springer, vol. 41(3), pages 572-590, September.
    17. Faiella, Ivan & Lavecchia, Luciano & Michelangeli, Valentina & Mistretta, Alessandro, 2022. "A climate stress test on the financial vulnerability of Italian households and firms," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 44(2), pages 396-417.
    18. Nicolas Albacete & Pirmin Fessler & Maximilian Propst, 2020. "Mapping financial vulnerability in CESEE: understanding risk-bearing capacities of households is key in times of crisis," Financial Stability Report, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 39, pages 71-87.
    19. Bashir Ahmad Joo & Simtiha Ishaq Mir, 2024. "Evolution of the Household Debt Narrative: A PRISMA-compliant Systematic Literature Review," Paradigm, , vol. 28(1), pages 84-100, June.
    20. Gaston Giordana & Michael Ziegelmeyer, 2024. "Using household-level data to guide borrower-based macro-prudential policy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 66(2), pages 785-827, February.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • D14 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Household Saving; Personal Finance
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • C21 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Cross-Sectional Models; Spatial Models; Treatment Effect Models

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sek:iefpro:14316324. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Klara Cermakova (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://iises.net/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.