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Time series behaviour of the real interest rates in transition economies

Author

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  • Pelin Öge Güney
  • Erdinç Telatar
  • Mübariz Hasanov

Abstract

Stationarity properties of real interest rates are examined for 21 transition economies. Owing to transaction costs and other frictions, it is quite plausible that we are dealing with potential non-linearities in the real interest rate. Therefore we examine stationarity of the real interest rate allowing for non-linearities and asymmetric adjustment with smooth structural change in the data generating process. Our findings suggest that taking account of non-linearities in the data generating process results in a rejection of the unit root null hypothesis for some countries which seem to be non-stationary according to conventional unit root tests. This finding points to the importance of allowing for both structural breaks and asymmetric adjustment in the real interest rate series of transition countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Pelin Öge Güney & Erdinç Telatar & Mübariz Hasanov, 2015. "Time series behaviour of the real interest rates in transition economies," Economic Research-Ekonomska Istraživanja, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 28(1), pages 104-118, January.
  • Handle: RePEc:taf:reroxx:v:28:y:2015:i:1:p:104-118
    DOI: 10.1080/1331677X.2015.1028240
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    Cited by:

    1. is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Sergej Gricar & Stefan Bojnec & Vesna Karadzic & Svetlana Rakocevic, 2016. "Comparative Analysis of Tourism-Led Growth in Slovenia and Montenegro," Managing Global Transitions, University of Primorska, Faculty of Management Koper, vol. 14(1 (Spring), pages 75-92.
    3. Andrew Phiri, 2018. "Asymmetric Pass-through Effects from Monetary Policy to Housing Prices in South Africa," Managing Global Transitions, University of Primorska, Faculty of Management Koper, vol. 16(2 (Summer), pages 123-140.
    4. Afsin Sahin, 2019. "Loom of Symmetric Pass-Through," Economies, MDPI, vol. 7(1), pages 1-25, February.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects

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