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Testing the Fisher hypothesis in the G-7 countries using I(d) techniques

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  • Caporale, Guglielmo Maria
  • Gil-Alaña, Luis

Abstract

This paper revisits the Fisher hypothesis concerning the determination of real rates by estimating fractional integration and cointegration models for nominal interest rates and expected inflation in the G7 countries. Two sets of results are obtained under the alternative assumptions of white noise and Bloomfield (1973) autocorrelated errors respectively. The univariate analysis suggests that the differencing parameter is higher than 1 for most series in the former case, whilst the unit root null cannot be rejected for the majority of them in the latter case. The multivariate results imply that there exists a positive relationship, linking nominal interest rates to inflation; however, there is no evidence of the full adjustment of the former to the latter required by the Fisher hypothesis.

Suggested Citation

  • Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Gil-Alaña, Luis, 2019. "Testing the Fisher hypothesis in the G-7 countries using I(d) techniques," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 140-150.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:inteco:v:159:y:2019:i:c:p:140-150
    DOI: 10.1016/j.inteco.2019.07.002
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    Cited by:

    1. Hüseyin Şen & Ayşe Kaya & Savaş Kaptan & Metehan Cömert, 2019. "Interest rates, inflation, and exchange rates in fragile EMEs: A fresh look at the long-run interrelationships," Working Papers halshs-02095652, HAL.
    2. Martin Ruzima & Micheal Kofi Boachie & Tatjana Põlajeva & Abdul-Aziz Iddrisu, 2023. "Does the Fisher effect hold in Rwanda?," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 57(3), pages 2657-2672, June.
    3. Andrew Phiri, 2023. "Fisher’s hypothesis in time–frequency space: a premier using South Africa as a case study," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 57(5), pages 4255-4284, October.

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • C22 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects

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