On the Feasibility of Debt Ponzi Schemes - A Bond Portfolio Approach
This paper provides a general approach in the framework of a complete markets stochastic overlapping generations model to assess whether debt Ponzi schemes are feasible and Pareto-improving. We derive conditions in terms of bond interest rates of different maturities which can be used to assess different roll over strategies. Furthermore, we clarify how a dynamic roll over strategy of debt interacts with considerations in providing insurance against aggregate shocks by intergenerational risk sharing. A main result of this paper is that the feasibility of roll over strategies is unrelated to intergenerational insurance considerations that have received much attention in the literature. In fact, under the empirically relevant scenario of countercyclical real interest rates a Pareto improving roll over strategy of debt typically implies an increased variability of old age consumption. We develop a detailed intuition for our results along a series of examples
To our knowledge, this item is not available for
download. To find whether it is available, there are three
1. Check below under "Related research" whether another version of this item is available online.
2. Check on the provider's web page whether it is in fact available.
3. Perform a search for a similarly titled item that would be available.
|Date of creation:||11 Aug 2004|
|Date of revision:|
|Contact details of provider:|| Phone: 1 212 998 3820|
Fax: 1 212 995 4487
Web page: http://www.econometricsociety.org/pastmeetings.asp
More information through EDIRC
When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ecm:nawm04:541. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Christopher F. Baum)
If references are entirely missing, you can add them using this form.