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Yield Curve Dynamics of the Indian G-Sec Market: A Macro-Finance Approach

Author

Listed:
  • SAHOO, SATYANANDA

    (Reserve Bank of India)

  • BHATTACHARYYA, INDRANIL

    (Reserve Bank of India)

Abstract

We examine the interactions between monetary policy and the term structure of the g-sec market in India through a SVAR model comprising macroeconomic variables and latent factors of the yield curve. Among macroeconomic factors, while monetary policy has the dominant impact on level and curvature, the exchange rate largely determines slope of the yield curve. Moreover, the level is found to be an important input for monetary policy decisions. Despite the persistence of large fiscal deficits, the g-sec market is found to be strongly influenced by policy measures implying that the central bank has a distinct role in market development.

Suggested Citation

  • Sahoo, Satyananda & Bhattacharyya, Indranil, 2012. "Yield Curve Dynamics of the Indian G-Sec Market: A Macro-Finance Approach," Indian Economic Review, Department of Economics, Delhi School of Economics, vol. 47(2), pages 157-182.
    • Handle: RePEc:dse:indecr:0051
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Chundakkadan, Radeef & Sasidharan, Subash, 2020. "Central bank's liquidity provision and firms' financial constraints," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 245-255.
    2. Chundakkadan, Radeef & Sasidharan, Subash, 2019. "Liquidity pull-back and predictability of government security yield volatility," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 124-132.
    3. Rudra Sensarma & Indranil Bhattacharyya, 2016. "Measuring monetary policy and its impact on the bond market of an emerging economy," Macroeconomics and Finance in Emerging Market Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 9(2), pages 109-130, July.
    4. Sensarma, Rudra & Bhattacharyya, Indranil, 2016. "The impact of monetary policy on corporate bonds in India," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 38(3), pages 587-602.
    5. Aeimit Lakdawala & Rajeswari Sengupta, 2021. "Measuring monetary policy shocks in India," Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai Working Papers 2021-021, Indira Gandhi Institute of Development Research, Mumbai, India.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Term Structure; Monetary Policy; Granger Causality; SVAR;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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