Indicators of Short-Term Interest Rate Expectations. The Information Contained in the Options Market
This paper has estimated, using a non-parametric method, the distribution function of expected three-month interbank rates, using data on call options on the MIBOR-90 future. The evolution over time of this distribution function has enabled the effects of movements in the Banco de España intervention rates on the distribution of agents' short-run interest rate expectations to be assessed.
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