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The Bank of England Credit Conditions Survey

Author

Listed:
  • Bell, Venetia

    (Bank of England)

  • Pugh, Alice

    (Bank of England)

Abstract

This paper contains the first detailed empirical examination of the information content of the Bank of England Credit Conditions Survey (CCS). The CCS asks a wide selection of questions of UK lenders relating to all aspects of bank credit provision. We examine the association between the survey responses and comparable official quantitative rates and lending growth data, and the extent to which the survey responses can help us to predict changes in those variables one quarter ahead. We find that many of the survey responses – especially those for household lending – are significantly associated with movements in the quantitative data. Similarly to the findings of equivalent surveys in the United States and euro area, we find that a subset of banks’ survey expectations of credit conditions provide a statistically significant guide for predicting changes in credit spreads and lending growth one quarter ahead.

Suggested Citation

  • Bell, Venetia & Pugh, Alice, 2014. "The Bank of England Credit Conditions Survey," Bank of England working papers 515, Bank of England.
    • Handle: RePEc:boe:boeewp:0515
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Eva Hromadkova & Oldrich Koza & Petr Polak, 2017. "The bank lending survey," Occasional Publications - Chapters in Edited Volumes, in: CNB Financial Stability Report 2016/2017, chapter 0, pages 115-124, Czech National Bank.
      • Eva Hromadkova & Oldrich Koza & Petr Polak & Nikol Polakova, 2018. "The Bank Lending Survey," Working Papers IES 2018/28, Charles University Prague, Faculty of Social Sciences, Institute of Economic Studies, revised Oct 2018.
    2. Olena Havrylchyk, 2016. "Incentivising Lending to Smes with the Funding for Lending Scheme: Some Evidence from Bank-Level Data in the United Kingdom," EconomiX Working Papers 2016-24, University of Paris Nanterre, EconomiX.
    3. Alejandro Jara & Juan-Francisco Martínez & Daniel Oda, 2017. "Bank’s Lending Growth in Chile: The Role of the Senior Loan Officers Survey," Working Papers Central Bank of Chile 802, Central Bank of Chile.
    4. Lozano Navarro, Francisco-Javier, 2018. "Efecto de las condiciones financieras sobre el desempeño del sector Construcción [Effect of financial conditions on the performance of the Construction sector]," MPRA Paper 118261, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Olena Havrylchyk, 2016. "Incentivising Lending to Smes with the Funding for Lending Scheme: Some Evidence from Bank-Level Data in the United Kingdom," Working Papers hal-04141585, HAL.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    bank lending survey; credit conditions survey; credit growth; credit spreads;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C23 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Single Equation Models; Single Variables - - - Models with Panel Data; Spatio-temporal Models
    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy

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