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Efectos de la política monetaria sobre las tasas de interés de los créditos hipotecarios en Colombia

Author

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  • Hernando Vargas Herrera

    ()

  • Franz Hamann

    ()

  • Andrés González

    ()

Abstract

Este artículo presenta un análisis cuantitativo del impacto de la política monetaria sobre las tasas de interés de los créditos hipotecarios, tanto en el largo como en el corto plazo. En primer lugar, los resultados de los ejercicios econométricos confirman la existencia de una relación de cointegración, ya antes encontrada por Galindo y Hofstetter (2008), entre las tasas de interés de los créditos hipotecarios (TICH) y los rendimientos de los títulos de deuda pública (TES). A diferencia de dicho estudio, se concluye que en el largo plazo la relación entre ambas tasas es uno a uno. Por consiguiente, tanto la política monetaria (a través de una meta de inflación baja y creíble) como la política fiscal (a través de una mayor solvencia fiscal) pueden contribuir a reducir las TICH en el largo plazo. Segundo, en el corto plazo, se encuentra que una innovación de 100 puntos base a la tasa de interés de política del Banco de la República se transmite al spreads TICH-TES con un rezago de seis a 10 meses y tiene un efecto máximo de 40-60 pb, después de controlar por sus efectos sobre otras variables macroeconómicas.

Suggested Citation

  • Hernando Vargas Herrera & Franz Hamann & Andrés González, 2010. "Efectos de la política monetaria sobre las tasas de interés de los créditos hipotecarios en Colombia," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 006858, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
  • Handle: RePEc:col:000094:006858
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lawrence J. Christiano & Martin Eichenbaum & Charles L. Evans, 2005. "Nominal Rigidities and the Dynamic Effects of a Shock to Monetary Policy," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 113(1), pages 1-45, February.
    2. Benkwitz, Alexander & Lütkepohl, Helmut & Wolters, Jürgen, 2001. "Comparison Of Bootstrap Confidence Intervals For Impulse Responses Of German Monetary Systems," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 5(1), pages 81-100, February.
    3. Arturo José Galindo & Marc Hofstetter, 2008. "Mortgage Interest Rates, Country Risk and Maturity Matching in Colombia," Documentos CEDE 004544, Universidad de los Andes - CEDE.
    4. Ramchander, Sanjay & Simpson, Marc W & Webb, James R, 2003. "Macroeconomic News and Mortgage Rates," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 27(3), pages 355-377, November.
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    Cited by:

    1. Hernando Vargas & Andrés Gonzalez & Ignacio Lozano, 2012. "Macroeconomic effects of structural fiscal policy changes in Colombia," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Fiscal policy, public debt and monetary policy in emerging market economies, volume 67, pages 119-160, Bank for International Settlements.
    2. John Jairo García & Nathalia Cadavid & Érika Aristizábal, 2018. "Efectos del crédito hipotecario sobre el precio de la vivienda nueva NO VIS en Medellín," Documentos de Trabajo CIEF 017009, Universidad EAFIT.
    3. Hernando Vargas & Andrés González & Ignacio Lozano, 2015. "Macroeconomic Gains from Structural Fiscal Policy Adjustments: The Case of Colombia," Economía Journal, The Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association - LACEA, vol. 0(Spring 20), pages 39-81, February.
    4. Andrés Felipe Londoño & Jorge Andrés Tamayo & Carlos Alberto Velásquez, 2012. "Dinámica de la política monetaria e inflación objetivo en Colombia: una aproximación FAVAR," Revista ESPE - Ensayos sobre Política Económica, Banco de la Republica de Colombia, vol. 30(68), pages 14-71, June.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Política monetaria; tasas de interés; crédito de vivienda; Colombia.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E43 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Interest Rates: Determination, Term Structure, and Effects
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

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